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Краткосрочни и дългосрочни Bitcoin Базите на разходите на притежателя показват променящи се пазарни условия
Краткосрочните и дългосрочните bitcoin holder cost basis ratio is trending downward, signaling a shift in market conditions.
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One of our favorite on-chain indicators recently flipped bullish. The STH (short-term holder) LTH (long-term holder) cost basis ratio recently has started to trend downward over the last two weeks, indicating a shift in market conditions.
The metric is first explained in detail in Ежедневното гмуркане #070.
Historically the metric has been one of the most accurate market indicators in Bitcoin, as the relationships between short-term and long-term holders and the acceleration/deceleration of cost basis of the two respective cohorts is quite informative.
- bitcoin price short-term holder and long-term holder ratio's 14-day change.While it is true that short-term holders are still underwater in aggregate (relative to the average cost basis of the cohort) the market absorbed lots of realized losses during the last few months, and with a relative accumulation occurring, the STH LTH Ratio has flipped back bullish.
A backtest of the ratio over time speaks for itself:
- bitcoin price short-term and long-term holder ratio's 14-day change.Below is a view of the inputs that go into the ratio itself:
- bitcoin short-term holder and long-term holder realized price.Similarly, last Wednesday in Ежедневното гмуркане #144 we highlighted the bullish flip in the delta gradient, another market momentum metric.
Оригинален източник: Bitcoin Списание