By Bitcoin Περιοδικό - 2 χρόνια πριν - Χρόνος ανάγνωσης: 6 λεπτά
The Overton Window Και Bitcoin
As Bitcoin enters the mainstream conversation, it is becoming increasingly common for politicians to embrace or disparage the technology.
As Bitcoin moves into its adolescence, many people from all walks of life, from all across the world may be pondering the question: Is Bitcoin mainstream? Is it in the process of becoming mainstream? Or is it something that may never become mainstream?
The answer to this question will likely have profound effects on how governments around the world behave toward Bitcoin in its teenage years.
Ο λόγος που η αντίληψη του κοινού παίζει μεγάλο ρόλο στο πώς συμπεριφέρονται οι κυβερνήσεις σε ένα συγκεκριμένο θέμα σχετίζεται με μια έννοια που ονομάζεται παράθυρο του Overton.
In this article, we examine the Overton window: What it is, how it relates to Bitcoin, and whether the Overton window for Bitcoin has shifted far enough toward mainstream to warrant support from governments.
Τι είναι το παράθυρο του Overton;
Wikipedia δηλώνει,
«Το παράθυρο του Overton είναι το εύρος των πολιτικών που είναι πολιτικά αποδεκτές από τον κυρίαρχο πληθυσμό σε μια δεδομένη στιγμή. Είναι επίσης γνωστό ως το παράθυρο του λόγου.
«Ο όρος πήρε το όνομά του από τον Αμερικανό αναλυτή πολιτικής Joseph P. Overton, ο οποίος δήλωσε ότι η πολιτική βιωσιμότητα μιας ιδέας εξαρτάται κυρίως από το αν εμπίπτει σε αυτό το εύρος, παρά από τις ατομικές προτιμήσεις των πολιτικών. Σύμφωνα με τον Overton, το παράθυρο πλαισιώνει το φάσμα των πολιτικών που μπορεί να προτείνει ένας πολιτικός χωρίς να φαίνεται πολύ ακραίος για να κερδίσει ή να διατηρήσει δημόσια αξιώματα, δεδομένου του κλίματος κοινή γνώμη ΕΚΕΙΝΗ ΤΗΝ ΠΕΡΙΟΔΟ."
Στον πυρήνα του παραθύρου του Overton βρίσκεται η αντίληψη του κοινού. Σε αντίθεση με ό,τι πιστεύουν πολλοί, οι πολιτικοί, τουλάχιστον οι πολιτικοί που θέλουν να παραμείνουν στην εξουσία, δεν μπορούν να θεσπίσουν οποιαδήποτε πολιτική θέλουν. Αντίθετα, πρέπει να επιλέξουν από μια σειρά πολιτικών που είναι πολιτικά αποδεκτές εκείνη την εποχή. Το παράθυρο του Overton ορίζει αυτό το εύρος ιδεών.
Παραδείγματα κινημάτων που έχουν μετατοπιστεί από το περιθώριο - έξω από το παράθυρο του Overton - στο mainstream περιλαμβάνουν το δικαίωμα ψήφου των γυναικών, τη φυλετική ισότητα και τη χρήση μαριχουάνας για ψυχαγωγία. Μόλις αυτά τα κινήματα έγιναν mainstream, οι κυβερνητικές πολιτικές άρχισαν να ευθυγραμμίζονται προς υποστήριξη των κινημάτων.
How Does The Overton Window Relate To Bitcoin?
Now that we have a fundamental understanding of the Overton window, let’s examine how it relates to Bitcoin. Bitcoin turned 13 on January 3, 2022. During its first 13 years, it has gone from a network primarily used by cryptography enthusiasts, extreme privacy advocates, hardcore libertarians and Austrian economic enthusiasts to something used by everyday individuals all around the world, companies small and large and even nation-states such as El Salvador.
With the understanding that the Overton window dictates “the range of policies politically acceptable to the mainstream population at a given time,” we can then ask ourselves, “Has the Overton window for Bitcoin shifted far enough toward the mainstream to warrant support from governments?” To answer that question, let’s examine the U.S. government's actions related to Bitcoin to date and then extrapolate what those actions may mean moving forward.
United States Government And Bitcoin
Contrary to what many bitcoin skeptics may say, in examining the U.S. government actions surrounding bitcoin to date, one would be hard-pressed to find anything overly burdensome. In 2014, the IRS classified bitcoin as περιουσία. The United States has some of the strongest property rights of any country in the world. Bitcoin being classified as property affords it the same legal protections as other types of personal property, such as real estate, and is an important reason that some of the largest bitcoin holders choose to own their bitcoin στις Ηνωμένες Πολιτείες.
Σε 2017, η CME Group, working in conjunction with the CFTC, launched a bitcoin futures market, an important step for any commodity.
Η Επιτροπή Κεφαλαιαγοράς των ΗΠΑ (SEC) έχει επανειλημμένα επανέλαβε ότι bitcoin is not a security and thus not within their field of regulation. Other cryptocurrencies, on the other hand, may be in for a rude awakening when it comes to Επιβολή SEC.
Το 2020, το Γραφείο του Ελεγκτή του Νομίσματος έδωσε στις ομοσπονδιακά ναυλωμένες τράπεζες το πράσινο φως για να επιμέλεια bitcoin.
Στο 2021, το πρώτο bitcoin χρηματιστηριακό κεφάλαιο (ETF) in the United States was approved. Yes, the ETF is based on bitcoin futures and does not hold physical bitcoin, but the fact that a bitcoin ETF product was approved at all is just another feather in the cap of bitcoin when it comes to favorable regulation in America.
So, when we review the totality of government action related to bitcoin in the United States, we can see that the U.S. government has been supportive of bitcoin overall to date. Now let’s turn our attention to what this may mean moving forward for Bitcoin as it relates to the Overton window.
Is The Time Right For Politicians And Governments To Lean Into The Bitcoin Κίνηση?
With millions of people owning bitcoin, corporations of all sizes owning bitcoin, Και ακόμη
nation-states owning bitcoin, είναι ξεκάθαρο ότι Bitcoin has, or is in the process of, passing through the Overton window in many parts of the world. That being the case, the time is ripe for politicians and governments to lean into the Bitcoin movement and use it to their advantage.
We’re starting to see the first inklings of this play out. In the United States, politicians such as Cynthia Lummis, Ted Cruz, Aarika Rhodes, Tom Emmer and others are leaning into pro-Bitcoin politics. In doing so, they’re tapping into a large base of voters who care about the issue of Bitcoin more than they do any other issue. This large single-issue voting block is powerful for any politician to tap into, as they tend to be very vocal and, in a world of 24/7 social media influence, being vocal is important. Dennis Porter wrote a great article, “Why Bitcoin Represents The Ultimate Single-Issue Voting Bloc.” I highly suggest you read it εδώ.
Another great example of politicians and governments leaning into Bitcoin is President Nayib Bukele and El Salvador. Bukele and El Salvador burst onto the international scene in 2020 when they announced a law that would make bitcoin legal tender. Instead of continuing to be beholden to agencies such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank for funding, El Salvador instead chose to plug into the Bitcoin network. Bukele became internationally recognized almost overnight, and the country of El Salvador went from being a small country, mostly forgotten by the West, to being on the international stage. You can bet that other countries are considering similar actions.
Now that we’ve reviewed several examples of politicians and governments taking advantage of the shifting Overton window for Bitcoin, let’s review an example of a government trying to keep Bitcoin out of the Overton window: China.
Η Κίνα έχει "απαγορευθεί Bitcoin” more times than I count. Which makes sense when you think about it. A Communist country run by a dictator doesn’t want its people having access to a global, distributed, censorship-resistant sovereign monetary system? Shocking! However, in 2021, China took its disdain for Bitcoin to a whole new level. They were serious this time. They cracked down on miners, resulting in 50% of the Bitcoin hash rate being relocated to friendlier jurisdictions. They cracked down on exchanges, forcing accounts serving Chinese citizens to be closed. They generally put enough fear into enough people to dissuade many of them from interacting with Bitcoin. China put on a classic display of attempting to keep a movement from shifting into the Overton window. In my opinion, history will not be kind to China for its grave mistake.
Συμπέρασμα
Το παράθυρο του Overton είναι μια σημαντική έννοια που πρέπει να κατανοήσετε. Με απλά λόγια, το παράθυρο του Overton
dictates a range of policies that are acceptable to the mainstream population for a given topic at a given time. As Bitcoin embarks on its teenage years, and adoption continues to grow, it is clear that the Overton window for Bitcoin has shifted, or is at least in the process of shifting. Politicians and governments around the world will be well served to lean into the Bitcoin movement, use it to their advantage to attract single-issue voters, and to strengthen their position on the global stage. In the United States and El Salvador, we are seeing this process begin to play out. In other countries, such as China, we see attempts to thwart Bitcoin before it can pass through the Overton window. In my opinion, these countries will look back and realize that trying to stop the inevitable was a grave mistake.
Αυτή είναι μια guest post από τον Don. Οι απόψεις που εκφράζονται είναι εξ ολοκλήρου δικές τους και δεν αντικατοπτρίζουν απαραίτητα αυτές της BTC Inc ή Bitcoin περιοδικό.
Πρωτότυπη πηγή: Bitcoin περιοδικό