Como va Bitcoin ¿Y las diferencias de Ethereum afectan sus ETF al contado?

By Bitcoin Revista - Hace 4 meses - Tiempo de lectura: 4 minutos

Como va Bitcoin ¿Y las diferencias de Ethereum afectan sus ETF al contado?

Analistas predecir that the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) will approve spot Bitcoin ETF applications in January 2024, following la aprobación of Bitcoin (BTC) Futures ETFs in October 2021 y ETF de futuros de Ether (ETH) en octubre de 2023.

In anticipation, traditional financial institutions also applied to issue spot Ether ETFs. Since applicants like BlackRock have a near-perfect track record in obtaining SEC approval for their ETFs, spot Ether ETFs are likely to be approved, too. However, the SEC might approve them only after their Bitcoin counterparts, which would mean approval of Ether ETFs a finales del 2024 o principios del 2025.

If approved, spot Bitcoin and Ether ETFs will attract millions of new investors who were previously unable or unwilling to purchase crypto assets directly. Will Bitcoin and Ether's differing investment theses, alongside issuers' capability to integrate each asset's features into spot ETFs, impact the success of these newly created products?

For Ether in particular, the disparity between the underlying asset’s use cases and the spot ETF product offerings raises doubts about the product's viability. A spot Ether ETF does not allow shareholders to participate in the Ethereum network – the primary reason that an investor would seek to acquire Ether. Meanwhile, Bitcoin, which is widely used as a depósito de valor, makes a spot Bitcoin ETF a more straightforward investment proposition.

Los ETF de Ether no tienen tesis de inversión

The Ether investment thesis revolves around the ability of individuals and institutions to utilize the ETH token on the Ethereum network. Unlike Bitcoin, which is recognized for its monetary qualities as a store of value, as well as a medium of exchange in some geographical regions, the Ether token functions as the "gas" of a technology ecosystem. One way users use ETH is for staking, the de participar en la validación de transacciones en una prueba de participación blockchain by locking up an amount (stake) of the network's native token to validate consensus and earn a yield.

El director general de River, Alexander Leishman dijo, “ETH se posicionó como una plataforma tecnológica y ahora se ve obligada a competir como tal”. El papel del token ETH como token de utilidad para la plataforma Ethereum significa que su tesis de inversión no se basa en características monetarias subyacentes.

The core value proposition of Ether makes it challenging for firms to market spot ETF products that only provide investors with price exposure. Investors don't hold Ether for its decentralization or monetary qualities. Corporations like MicroStrategy don’t sell stock to buy Ether. Countries like El Salvador haven’t designated Ether as legal tender – in fact, as far as anyone knows, no national governments are even talking about it.

Otro obstáculo es que aplicaciones como la de BlackRock ni siquiera mencionan las apuestas, que son fundamentales para la tesis de inversión de Ether. La SEC ha sido estricta con intercambios de cifrado que ofrecen funciones de participación como servicio, lo que hace aún más improbable que BlackRock u otros emisores obtengan permiso para ofrecer apuestas a través de un ETF.

Bitcoin ETFs

Based on current applications, spot Bitcoin Emisores de ETF no ofrecerá canjes en especie, which means shareholders cannot take custody of their Bitcoin. Therefore, such products introducir riesgo de contraparte adicional. However, shareholders do gain exposure to Bitcoin’s price. This allows them to benefit from price appreciation even if annual management fees cut into their profits.

con un lugar Bitcoin ETF, issuers can count on demand from market participants who view Bitcoin as a store of value and seek price exposure for extended periods. The store-of-value investment thesis makes it easy for Wall Street firms to market spot Bitcoin ETF products to financial advisors and retail investors.

Anticipating approval for spot Bitcoin products, traditional financial leaders like BlackRock CEO Larry Fink have changed their rhetoric. They no longer issue sound bites like "an index of money laundering" when it comes to Bitcoin. Instead, Fink ahora lo llama an "international asset" that is "digitizing gold" and represents a "flight to quality" for investors.

Fink's description reflects bitcoin's perceived product market fit in Western markets as a store of value due to its decentralization and the network's monetary policy. Some U.S.-based firms están creando Bitcoin products focused on payments, but most holders of bitcoin store wealth in Bitcoin por largos períodos

Mirando hacia el futuro


La lanzamiento mediocre of the Ether futures ETF in October might indicate that a spot Ether ETF will be met with similarly low demand. Bitcoin and Ether’s underlying investment theses will determine the demand for ETFs issued against these assets. Since the utility of Ether comes from its ability to be used within the Ethereum ecosystem, a spot ETH ETF is unlikely to be a valuable product offering.

Esta es una publicación invitada de David Waugh. Las opiniones expresadas son totalmente propias y no reflejan necesariamente las de BTC Inc o Bitcoin Revista.

Fuente original: Bitcoin Revista