Argentinska zlatna prilika: iznenađujući ishod nedavnih izbora

By Bitcoin Časopis - prije 6 mjeseca - Vrijeme čitanja: 6 minute

Argentinska zlatna prilika: iznenađujući ishod nedavnih izbora

Nedavni ishod 1. kruga izbora u Argentini poslat će Sergia Massu i Javiera Mileija u 2. drugi krug. Javier Milei, libertarijanac koji je nedavno ušao u političku arenu kao autsajder, natjecat će se za predsjednika sa Sergiom Massom, trenutnim ministrom gospodarstva, koji se natječe za sadašnju i rebrendiranu Peronističku stranku.

In this article, we will delve into why Milei's disruptive approach into Argentina’s politics unintentionally rejuvenated the status quo he seeks to combat and will examine the broader dynamics of Argentine politics

Patricia Bullrich, koja je bila treća u sporu nakon primarnih izbora i predstavljala je "Juntos por el Cambio" nakon natjecanja s Horaciom Larretom, bila je kratka u glasovima za nastavak utrke. Predstavljala je stranku koju je utemeljio bivši predsjednik Mauricio Macri, a koja je bila glas oporbe i sastavljena od koalicije različitih političkih sektora sa značajnim neslaganjem u ideološkim stavovima, ali s jasnim stavom protiv tradicionalne peronističke stranke i snažna obrana političkih institucija i poštivanje vladavine prava.

Milei, a 52-year-old congressman, a new contestant in the political arena has struck a chord with this generation through his viral TikTok diatribes against the "political elite" and his fervent advocacy for free-market principles. His bold demeanor, eccentric remarks, and unkempt appearance have attracted millions of viewers and disrupted conventional politics. Unafraid to court controversy, he offers a departure from the status quo by advocating for the shutdown of the central bank, the dollarization of the economy, and substantial cuts to government spending.

His journey to political prominence was unconventional, having previously served as a goalkeeper for the Chacarita Juniors soccer team and even assuming the role of Mick Jagger in a Rolling Stones tribute band. Inspired by Argentina's hyperinflation crisis in 1989, he transitioned to economics, eventually gaining traction through his appearances on television shows, where his unorthodox ideas and style found a receptive audience amid economic turmoil.

He was elected to Congress in 2021 with a pledge to dismantle the political elite, describing himself as a proponent of minimal government intervention. He made promises to slash the number of federal ministries and championed deregulation in various sectors, including proposing the relaxation of gun laws. Milei's authenticity seems to resonate profoundly with the youth, and offers an avenue for Gen Z voters to express their rebellion against a system they feel has done little for them.

For decades, Argentine elections have revolved around the power struggle between the Peronist party and the Opposition. Despite their apparent differences, these two factions mainly vied for control of the government and the associated benefits. Throughout the years, Argentina has witnessed a consistent trend: government spending relentlessly expanding. This expansion has encompassed welfare programs, news organizations, public institutions, infrastructure projects, and various avenues for politicians to enrich themselves. Consequently, the government's size ballooned faster than the country's GDP, placing immense pressure on the private sector.

As government reserves dwindled, Argentina sought loans from international institutions, notably the IMF, with Alex Gladstein pointing out the adverse long-term consequences. Moreover, the government resorted to Money printing, effectively taxing citizens' savings through rampant inflation.

Kako bi financirala svoje sve veće troškove, vlada je uvela niz beskrajnih propisa, poreza i kontrola. Glomazni propisi za otvaranje poduzeća i složen porezni sustav učinili su razvoj malih poduzeća gotovo nemogućim, stvarajući plodno tlo za korupciju.

A case in point is the convoluted importation process in Argentina. Due to a shortage of USD reserves, a permit-based import system known as SIRA was established. With a stark disparity between “The official” and "The Blue" USD exchange rates, this system has bred a sophisticated web of kickbacks, no-look fees, and political protection. Unfortunately, it is the ordinary citizens who bear the brunt, as they are forced to overpay for goods and services due to the absence of competitive market forces.

Sustav univerzalnog temeljnog dohotka (UBI), namijenjen smanjenju siromaštva, zarobljava pojedince unutar sustava. Visoke stope siromaštva, nedostatak pristupa kvalitetnom obrazovanju za siromašne i sve veći inflacijski pritisci tjeraju ljude da žive bez ikakvih pitanja i dopuštaju političarima, društvenim i vjerskim vođama da iskoriste ovu nevolju, zahtijevajući lojalnost u zamjenu za pogodnosti UBI-ja.

Međutim, Argentinci su pokazali nevjerojatnu otpornost. Zemlja se može pohvaliti živahnom neformalnom ekonomijom u kojoj se pojedinci nastoje zaštititi od vladinog pretjeranog djelovanja. Ipak, oporba je dosljedno zagovarala strožu proračunsku kontrolu i više institucionalnog upravljanja, što je često izazivalo protivljenje javnosti kada se subvencije smanjuju. Posljedično, populističke ideje ponovno su isplivale na površinu svaki put kada se provedu mjere štednje.

Both major political factions in Argentina share a pro-statism perspective, emphasising the state's dominant role in controlling and regulating every aspect of society. Money issuance and control are deemed essential components of the nation's values.

Javier Milei poremetio je ovu pat poziciju usmjerivši raspravu prema individualnoj slobodi i poštovanju privatnog vlasništva. To je označilo značajan odmak od populističkih i socijalističkih ideologija koje su dominirale Argentinom gotovo osam desetljeća.

Javier Milei, a vocal advocate for economic freedom, has put forth audacious proposals that challenge the established norms. He advocates for closing the central bank, allowing freedom of choice in money, and professes support for cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. His ideas signal a radical departure from the conventional, interventionist policies that have long dominated Argentina's economic landscape.

Dok se argentinsko gospodarstvo suočava s teškim okolnostima, kao što je jasno opisano u najnovijem filmu Petera McCormacka, ljudi pronalaze inovativne načine da se zaštite od njegovih posljedica. Imućne i sofisticirane klase diverzificiraju svoju imovinu ulažući u dionice, nekretnine i međunarodne zaštite. U međuvremenu, mnogi obični građani srednje klase okreću se provjerenim metodama, kao što je gomilanje dolara ispod svojih madraca. Nažalost, postoji značajan dio društva koji nema raspoloživi dohodak za štednju i koji nema pristup bankarskom sustavu.

Argentina is among the leading countries on Bitcoin and Crypto adoption and that is for a reason. The rise of cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin, is transforming the financial landscape since they offer an accessible and decentralized means of hedging against the peso's volatility and maintain their savings beyond the government reach. Many still fear the government and banking system appropriating their savings like it happened in 2001. Bitcoin and stablecoins like USDT (Tether) have democratized the opportunity for individuals to protect their wealth, offering a refuge from the ravages of inflation and economic uncertainty.

Predlažući radikalne promjene i otvoreno osporavajući status quo, on ga je ironično oživio. Oni koji su profitirali od prevladavajućeg sustava, bili oni nepokolebljivi pobornici državne intervencije ili korisnici njezine blagodati, okupili su se iza Sergia Masse, koji se pojavio kao kandidat koji će štititi njihove interese.

Massa ima neusporedivu želju za moći i prošao je kroz sve političke stranke bez grižnje savjesti da bi se udružio s onima koje je prije kritizirao. Bio je vrlo hrabar da preuzme ulogu Ministarstva gospodarstva u sadašnjoj upravi kao ulaz za svoju kandidaturu. Nije se libio upotrijebiti tiskaru novca koja mu je bila na raspolaganju kako bi zemlju preplavio hrpama novca koji je nagrizao vrijednost peza vodeći Argentinu u najgoru inflacijsku krizu u desetljećima. Ali kako ljudi koji su naklonjeni FIAT-u imaju veliku prednost u vremenu i kratke vremenske horizonte, on je to iskoristio u svoju korist i spojio to s ulijevanjem straha od boli koju će prouzročiti promjene koje Milei predlaže.

Argentina sada ima zlatnu priliku na nadolazećim izborima za one koji vjeruju da postoji alternativni put i povratak u Argentinu s početka 1900-ih, koju je karakterizirala ekonomska istaknutost. Ovo je vrijeme, ima nade.

Sixty-five percent of the voters expressed a desire for change. There is a charismatic leader in the runoff challenging the incumbent system and a huge audience in the electorate looking for an option to believe that the change is possible. Yet the fear of change is palpable and achieving this change will require a collective effort from a diverse group of political leaders who must set aside their egos and seek common ground. Figures like Milei, Macri, Bullrich, and Schiaretti must step forward. Failure to do so could accelerate Argentina's descent down the slippery slope toward a socialist, corruption-fuelled path, akin to that of Venezuela.

Argentina's future can be bright. With greater economic freedom for the individual, clear rules and regulations, and an open market for money and the economy, Argentina has the potential to thrive once more and regain its status as a relevant global player. The winds of change have begun to blow, and with a collective effort from visionary leaders and a population eager for positive transformation, Argentina can rise to new heights. The challenges are immense, but the possibilities for a reinvigorated and prosperous Argentina are equally vast.

Ovo je gost za goste Juan Llauró. Izražena mišljenja su u potpunosti njihova vlastita i ne odražavaju nužno ona BTC Inc ili Bitcoin Časopis.

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