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The Worst for Bitcoin (BTC) May Not Be Over, According to Bloomberg Analyst Mike McGlone – Here’s Why
Bloomberg Intelligence’s senior macro strategist Mike McGlone is predicting that Bitcoin (BTC) will drop lower due to recessionary headwinds.
U novom Crypto Outlooku izdanje, McGlone says that the worst may not be over for Bitcoin, predicting a liquidity crunch in the second half of 2023 due to a US recession.
“June may show more of the 1H (first half of the year) bias for rising risk assets and Bitcoin in a worst-is-over scenario, or it could roll over into a US recession. Our bias is the latter, notably as markets appear to have priced in an optimistic outcome from the long and variable lags of aggressive central-bank rate hikes, which are still rising.”
McGlone kaže da, iako su tržišta nedavno poskočila, ne vjeruje da je njihova snaga održiva. On predviđa da će se širi silazni tržišni trend nastaviti.
“The potential for the rising Nasdaq 100 Stock Index to lift all boats may be ephemeral. The graphic of 100-week moving averages shows downtrends for the stock index and Bitcoin. It’s a question of the worst being over or respecting the trend, notably as prices have bounced.
Naša perspektiva prema dolje vođena je lekcijama pumpi likvidnosti koje se preokreću i još uvijek padaju, kao što pokazuju fjučersi saveznih fondova u jednoj godini (FF13). Možda će biti potreban pad dionica da bi stope pale.”
McGlone, who previously Upozorio Bitcoin could dip to as low as $7,000, says an expected US recession is likely to push risk assets like BTC much lower.
"Bitcoin’s high of about $30,000 in 2023 vs. the 100-week mean around $33,000 may show the pre-eminent, 24/7, globally traded risk indicator feeling gravity from the comfort zone around $7,000 before the unprecedented 2020-21 liquidity boost. That the widely expected US recession has not yet started may pressure risk assets accordingly.”
Bitcoin se trguje za 27,074 USD u trenutku pisanja, što je porast od 0.7% tijekom posljednja 24 sata.
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