By NewsBTC - prije 3 mjeseca - Vrijeme čitanja: 3 minute
Volja Bitcoin Dosegnuti milijun dolara do 1.? Stručnjaci se sukobljavaju oko hrabrog predviđanja cijena
Tuur Demeester, a Bitcoin evangelist, has recently podijeljen his views on Bitcoin’s potential to reach the $1 million mark by 2028. Demeester’s view on this topic presents a cautious contrast to some of the more bullish predictions in the crypto community.
This tempered perspective comes when others, such as Samson Mow, express snažno povjerenje in Bitcoin’s ability to hit this milestone following its sljedeće prepolovljenje.
$ 1 milijuna Bitcoin By 2028 Is Not Certain
Demeester’s skepticism was articulated in response to a pošta sharing a graph by investor Fred Krueger, which suggested that Bitcoin might reach the $1,000,000 level by 2028.
Iako je cijenio model grafikona, Demeester je izrazio nesigurnost, priznajući nepredvidivu prirodu tržišta i njegovu sposobnost da prkosi čak i najbolje konstruiranim modelima.
Will it take BTC until after summer 2028 to reach $1M? I don’t know, but I do know that every beautiful model (as is this one ) is destined to be broken by Mr. Market. https://t.co/GcmhfL2C16
- Tuur Demeester (@TuurDemeester) Veljače 2, 2024
Očekivanja vezana uz cijenu BTC-a od milijun dolara usko su povezana s događajima njegovog prepolovljenja, koji se događaju otprilike svake četiri godine. Nakon ovogodišnjeg prepolovljavanja, sljedeće prepolovljavanje trebalo bi se dogoditi 1. Ovi događaji smanjuju broj novih BTC-ova iskopanih po bloku za pola, ograničavajući ponudu i potencijalno utječući na cijenu.
Korištenje električnih romobila ističe nadolazeće prepolovljavanje, set for April this year, will see the daily minting of Bitcoin slashed from 900 to 450 coins. Such supply changes have historically led to significant price movements, lending credibility to the various models predicting substantial future price increases.
Usred ovih predviđanja, X korisnik, koji tvrdi da je vlasnik grafikona rasta koji spominje Demeester, javio se sa uvidima. Tvrdili su da je manje vjerojatno da će neki zakoni tržišta, poput vremenske vrijednosti novca na burzi, biti prekršeni.
Similarly, the natural adoption rate of Bitcoin might constrain its “explosive” growth, providing room for market movements without breaking the underlying model.
Hi Tuur, this plot is mine. Some laws are not broken by Mr Market, e.g. the stock market grows by ~7% p.a. This cannot be broken to the upside because of the time value of money (essentially). The time-based power-law likewise is hard to break to the upside because that would go…
— hcburger (@hcburger1) Veljače 2, 2024
Diverse Views On BitcoinBudućnost
drugo Bitcoin enthusiasts, like Samson Mow, CEO of Jan3, are more optimistic. Mow envisions Bitcoin reaching $1 million, potentially in a sudden surge causing “maksimalna bol” for several market players.
Ovo dramatično povećanje, predlaže on, moglo bi se dogoditi brzo, u roku od "dana ili tjedana", iako točna početna točka ostaje neizvjesna.
Moje glavno predviđanje je da će se porast do 1 milijuna dolara dogoditi za nekoliko dana ili tjedana. Polazište TBD.
- Samson Mow (@Excellion) 14. 2024. XNUMX.
In analyzing potential triggers for a Bitcoin rally, Mow considers various čimbenici, To uključuje Bitcoin-specific metrics like exchange-traded inflows (ETF), the BTC hashrate, and whale activity on Bitfinex. Additionally, Mow looks at broader economic indicators such as Tether’s USDT assets under management, government debt payments, and Debt-to-GDP ratios.
To su #Bitcoin makro indikatori koje gledam:
ETF inflows Hashrate Finex whale accumulation 200 WMA trend Tether USDt AUM Govt interest payments on debt Debt GDP ratios Nation-state Bitcoin adoption Real inflation M3 money
- Samson Mow (@Excellion) 28. 2024. XNUMX.
Mow believes these factors, combined with nation-state adoption, real inflation rates, and the M3 money supply, could significantly influence Bitcoinperformanse.
Amid the debate, Bitcoin saw quite a surge in the past 24 hours, reclaiming the $43,000 mark with a current trading price of $43,123.
Istaknuta slika s Unsplasha, grafikon s TradingViewa
Izvorni izvor: NewsBTC