Short-Term And Long-Term Bitcoin Holder Cost Bases Indicate Changing Market Conditions

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Short-Term And Long-Term Bitcoin Holder Cost Bases Indicate Changing Market Conditions

រយៈពេលខ្លី និងរយៈពេលវែង bitcoin holder cost basis ratio is trending downward, signaling a shift in market conditions.

ខាង​ក្រោម​នេះ​គឺ​មក​ពី​ការ​បោះ​ពុម្ព​ផ្សាយ​ថ្មី​ៗ​នេះ​នៃ Deep Dive, Bitcoin ព្រឹត្តិប័ត្រព័ត៌មានទីផ្សារពិសេសរបស់ទស្សនាវដ្តី។ ដើម្បីក្លាយជាមនុស្សដំបូងគេដែលទទួលការយល់ដឹងទាំងនេះ និងបណ្តាញផ្សេងទៀត bitcoin ការវិភាគទីផ្សារត្រង់ទៅប្រអប់សំបុត្ររបស់អ្នក ជាវឥឡូវនេះ.

One of our favorite on-chain indicators recently flipped bullish. The STH (short-term holder) LTH (long-term holder) cost basis ratio recently has started to trend downward over the last two weeks, indicating a shift in market conditions.

The metric is first explained in detail in ការជ្រមុជទឹកប្រចាំថ្ងៃ #070.

Historically the metric has been one of the most accurate market indicators in Bitcoin, as the relationships between short-term and long-term holders and the acceleration/deceleration of cost basis of the two respective cohorts is quite informative.

នេះ bitcoin price short-term holder and long-term holder ratio's 14-day change.

While it is true that short-term holders are still underwater in aggregate (relative to the average cost basis of the cohort) the market absorbed lots of realized losses during the last few months, and with a relative accumulation occurring, the STH LTH Ratio has flipped back bullish.

A backtest of the ratio over time speaks for itself:

នេះ bitcoin price short-term and long-term holder ratio's 14-day change.

Below is a view of the inputs that go into the ratio itself:

នេះ bitcoin short-term holder and long-term holder realized price.

Similarly, last Wednesday in ការជ្រមុជទឹកប្រចាំថ្ងៃ #144 we highlighted the bullish flip in the delta gradient, another market momentum metric.

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