작성자 ZyCrypto - 1년 전 - 읽기 시간: 2분
"아직 너무 흥분할 때가 아니다", 전문가 경고 Bitcoin 여전히 더 깊은 수정에 직면할 수 있음
Scott Melker, the host of The Wolf of All Streets podcast and crypto trader, has cautioned investors against getting too excited by Bitcoin’s recent pump, suggesting that the crypto asset could still 아래로 뛰어들다.
In a newsletter to more than 800k Twitter followers, the pundit attempted to measure the asset’s “possible bottom” by illustrating five of the worst Bitcoin corrections in history. These included the Nov 2013 – Jan 2015 (-86.9%); Dec 2017 – Dec 2018 (-84.12%); Apr 2013 (-82.65%); June 2019 – Mar 2020 (-72.26%) and the April 2021 – June 2021(-55.95%) bear markets.
According to him, considering Bitcoin’s price has dropped by approximately 76.59% in the past year, it would have to drop another 48.84% to reach April 2013 bear market levels. This would mean $220B, or half of the current Bitcoin market capitalization, being wiped from the market, which he said was “unlikely”.
"에 대한 Bitcoin to go an inch lower than the current bottom at $15,800, it would need to drop 31.2% from current levels. Still a sizeable drop.” 그는 덧붙였다.
너무 빠르지 않음
The pundit warned investors against getting too excited, commenting on this month’s pump, urging them to drop the “Bitcoin up only” assumption.
"그래도 아직은 너무 흥분할 때가 아닌 것 같다. 우리는 올해 첫 달에 불과하며 조정이 올 것이고 가장 큰 랠리는 종종 약세장에서 온다는 것을 알고 있습니다.” 그는 말했다.
25 월 XNUMX 일 Bitcoin surged as high as $23,800 before tracing its move to settle below the $23,250 resistance.
Melker에 따르면 그 저항은 가격에 큰 장애물이 될 수 있으며 4시간 차트에서 이 지역이 "매도를 위한 유동성 확보"임을 시사합니다.
"조심스럽게 진행하겠다" 그는 캔들이 그 저항선 위나 아래에서 닫히지 않는 한 할 일이 거의 없다고 강조했습니다. "일어나지 않을 수도 있지만 여전히 수정 사항을 찾고 있습니다." 그는 계속했다.
Bitcoin’s Resilience Is Improving
Melker noted that Bitcoin had become more resilient over the years, considering the sheer number of catalysts and 시장 관련 전염병 behind its drop compared to other bear markets. He also noted that the pioneer cryptocurrency had attracted a floor of die-hard believers who would increasingly make it harder to drive Bitcoin’s price drastically by offering adequate liquidity.
그의 말로는;
"If we are being honest with ourselves, we should feel lucky if Bitcoin does not drop more than it did in 2017...The catalysts for this current correction are far more serious. This proves that Bitcoin is strengthening over time and will probably continue to soften its gains and losses in each cycle.
압박 시간에, Bitcoin (BTC) was exchanging hands at $23,181, up 0.61% in the past 24 hours.
원본 출처 : ZyCrypto