By Bitcoin ວາລະສານ - 3 ເດືອນກ່ອນ - ເວລາອ່ານ: 3 ນາທີ
ເກມ ທິດສະດີຂອງອາດຊະຍາກໍາທາງດ້ານການເງິນ: ນະໂຍບາຍ Takeaways ຈາກ Bitcoin
Significant shifts are underway in the ecosystem of illicit actors using cryptocurrency. According to a 2023 ບົດລາຍງານ by TRM Labs, Bitcoin is no longer the asset of choice for criminals.
ລາຍງານກ່າວວ່າ, "The multi-chain era has had a sweeping impact on the distribution of illicit crypto volume as a whole, where Bitcoin’s share plummeted from 97% in 2016 to 19% in 2022. In 2016, two thirds of crypto hack volume was on Bitcoin; in 2022, it accounted for just under 3%, with Ethereum (68%) and Binance Smart Chain (19%) dominating the field. And while Bitcoin was the exclusive currency for terrorist financing in 2016, by 2022 it was all but replaced by assets on the TRON blockchain, ມີ 92%. "
Ramifications ຂອງ Shift ໄດ້
Clearly, this turns the adage of Bitcoin being synonymous with criminal activity, on its head.
ນັບຕັ້ງແຕ່ການເລີ່ມຕົ້ນ, Bitcoin has functioned as a Schelling Point due to its network effect, market dominance and liquidity, making it a natural choice in cryptofinance.
(ໃນ parlance ທິດສະດີເກມ, ຈຸດ Schelling ເປັນການແກ້ໄຂທໍາມະຊາດໃນສະຖານະການທີ່ຫຼາຍຝ່າຍຕ້ອງຕັດສິນໃຈໂດຍບໍ່ມີການສື່ສານໂດຍກົງ. ຈຸດເຫຼົ່ານີ້ແມ່ນຈະແຈ້ງ intuitively, ມັກຈະອີງໃສ່ຄວາມຄາດຫວັງຮ່ວມກັນຫຼືຄວາມຮູ້ທົ່ວໄປ.)
ຢ່າງໃດກໍຕາມ, ໃນປັດຈຸບັນມັນເບິ່ງຄືວ່າມີການແຍກຕ່າງຫາກຢ່າງຕໍ່ເນື່ອງຂອງ equilibria ກັບນັກສະແດງທີ່ບໍ່ດີເລືອກຈຸດທີ່ແຕກຕ່າງກັນຂອງ convergence.
ນະໂຍບາຍເອົາໄວ້
ການເຄື່ອນໄຫວນີ້ສະເຫນີບາງການຮຽນຮູ້ທີ່ສໍາຄັນຈາກທັດສະນະນະໂຍບາຍ.
ມັນຊີ້ໃຫ້ເຫັນເຖິງຄວາມຕ້ອງການຂອງຜູ້ສ້າງນະໂຍບາຍເພື່ອສຶກສາຢ່າງໃກ້ຊິດກ່ຽວກັບຊັບສິນສະເພາະແລະ blockchains ທີ່ກໍາລັງຖືກໃຈໂດຍນັກສະແດງທີ່ຜິດກົດຫມາຍແລະດໍາເນີນການທີ່ເຫມາະສົມ. ສິ່ງທີ່ສໍາຄັນກວ່ານັ້ນ, ມັນສະຫນອງໂອກາດທີ່ຈະທົດແທນການປະຈຸບັນ, ທັດສະນະທົ່ວໄປກ່ຽວກັບຊັບສິນດິຈິຕອນທີ່ມີ nuanced ຫຼາຍ, ໃນຂະນະທີ່ສ້າງການບັນຍາຍນະໂຍບາຍກ່ຽວກັບການນໍາໃຊ້ຄະດີອາຍາ.
Case in point, in the ongoing discussion on use of cryptoassets in terror financing, it often gets missed that Hamas has in fact ຢຸດເຊົາການຍອມຮັບ Bitcoin donations, to protect its sponsors from being unveiled.
But most importantly, this shift of illicit finance away from Bitcoin, is the first ever documented case of major crime displacement in the world of cryptoassets. It sheds light on the fluid nature of Financial Crime as it adapts to the path of least resistance.
ທັດສະນະຈາກທິດສະດີເກມ
Consequently, a game-theoretic lens (with the players being - product devs, regulators, good and bad actors) enables a holistic and nuanced view of the space. We can see that in such a setting, interplay of independent actions and perspectives, generates myriad scenarios as the system is too intertwined for any set of players to control outcomes only by themselves.
ທັດສະນະທາງທິດສະດີກ່ຽວກັບການເງິນທີ່ຜິດກົດໝາຍສະແດງໃຫ້ເຫັນເຖິງຄວາມຕ້ອງການທີ່ຈະກ້າວເຂົ້າສູ່ຈິດໃຈທາງອາຍາເພື່ອຄາດຄະເນຂັ້ນຕອນຕໍ່ໄປ ແລະກະກຽມຕາມຄວາມເໝາະສົມ. ການສ້າງນະໂຍບາຍເພື່ອຕ້ານການໄຫຼວຽນຂອງກອງທຶນທີ່ຜິດກົດຫມາຍ, ໂດຍທົ່ວໄປແລ້ວແມ່ນ retroactive ກັບນັກສະແດງທີ່ບໍ່ດີເຮັດໃຫ້ການເຄື່ອນໄຫວຈໍານວນຫນ້ອຍທໍາອິດ, ເຊິ່ງຫຼັງຈາກນັ້ນໄດ້ຖືກສຶກສາວ່າເປັນຄວາມສ່ຽງທີ່ພົ້ນເດັ່ນຂື້ນຕາມກົດລະບຽບຫັດຖະກໍາ. ຢ່າງໃດກໍ່ຕາມ, ດ້ວຍພື້ນທີ່ຂອງຊັບສິນດິຈິຕອລທີ່ພັດທະນາຢູ່ໃນຈັງຫວະທີ່ເພີ່ມຂຶ້ນ, ພວກເຮົາບໍ່ມີຄວາມຫລູຫລາໃນການປະຕິບັດຕາມວິທີການ whack-a-mole ນີ້ (ເຊິ່ງເປັນມາດຕະຖານໃນການອອກແບບກົດລະບຽບການເງິນແບບດັ້ງເດີມ).
The ongoing wave of crime displacement away from Bitcoin, highlights the necessity to arm policymakers with predictive systems that forecast future patterns of illicit fund flows. Such an approach will vastly minimize response time to new threats.
ຂໍ້ລິເລີ່ມຕ້ານອາດຊະຍາກຳ
ບົດຮຽນຈາກ Bitcoin’s changing usage, can also help counter-crime professionals grasp distinct features of organized crime syndicates. Case in point, crime rings still reliant on Bitcoin would signify a lack of agility in leadership. Additionally, position on an ‘agility spectrum’ can help infer further actionable insights about any syndicate, such its level of resourcefulness and technical expertise. This can also aid law enforcement in sizing the unique effort required in combating each crime ring. Case in point, crime syndicates which pioneered the shift away from Bitcoin, and are (consequently) ahead of the curve, would be operating at a relatively higher level of ingenuity, while continuously adapting to slip through the cracks.
Concluding Thoughts
The switch of financial crime away from Bitcoin, sheds light on the need of a more nuanced approach to curating apt and dynamic regulatory and policy frameworks for digital assets and blockchains. It also highlights the dangers of applying broad strokes to the entire spectrum of cryptofinance, when it comes to policy debates on criminal usage.
This is a guest post by Debanjan Chatterjee. Opinions expressed are entirely their own and do not necessarily reflect those of BTC Inc or Bitcoin ນິຕະຍະສານ
ແຫຼ່ງຕົ້ນສະບັບ: Bitcoin ວາລະສານ