By Bitcoin.com - 1 tau ki muri - Wā Pānui: 3 meneti
Ko te Kaihanga Ohaoha a Mohamed El-Erian e matapae ana i te pikinga 'piri' ahakoa te kaha a te Federal Reserve ki te whakaheke.
I te wa e tirotirohia ana e nga kaipupuri putea nga nekehanga a muri ake o te Federal Reserve, ko nga kaitirotiro, ohaoha me nga kaiuru maakete e tino aro turuki ana i nga taumata pikinga. I te Hakihea 2022, ka heke te pikinga o te tau ki te 6.5%, a he maha nga tohunga e matapae ana ka heke ano. Heoi, e whakapono ana te tohunga ohaoha a Mohamed El-Erian o te Whare Wananga o Cambridge ka "piri" te pikinga i waenganui o te tau, tata ki te 4%. Ko te putea pokapū, i tetahi atu taha, e arotahi ana ki te whakaheke i te pikinga ki te 2%.
Ko te 5% te mea hou 2%: Kaupapa here moni me te pikinga moni huamoni kaore e taea te aukati i te pehanga pikinga
Ko nga mema o te Federal Reserve, tae atu ki tana heamana 16th, a Jerome Powell, he maha nga korero i kii ko te whainga a te peeke kia heke te pikinga ki te 2%. Kei a Powell ka whakaakona Ko ta te Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) "te aronga nui i tenei wa ko te whakahoki mai i te pikinga ki raro ki ta maatau whaainga 2%. Hei whakararata i te pikinga, kua whakamahia e te peeke pokapū tana kaupapa here ki te whakakaha i nga moni me nga piki reiti huamoni. I tenei wa, kua piki ake te reiti a te Fed e whitu nga wa i te rarangi mai i tera tau, me te piki haere i ia marama.
Kua heke te pikinga o te US mai i te tata ki nga tau rua i Oketopa me Noema 2022. I taua wa, ko te tohunga ohaoha me te kaingākau koura a Peter Schiff kī "Ko nga ra o Amerika mo te pikinga iti-2% kua ngaro." I te hui 2023 World Economic Forum i Davos, i tera wiki, JLL Tumuaki Christian Ulbrich ka korerotia te Financial Times e timata ana ona hoa ki te kii ko te 5% te 2% hou. "Ka noho tonu te pikinga ki te 5%," ko ta Ulbrich te korero ki nga kairipoata FT. Mohamed El-Erian, te perehitini o Queens' College i te Whare Wananga o Cambridge, i whakamarama i te Hanuere 17 ko te pikinga pea ka "piri" i te awhe 4%.
"Ko nga taonga me nga here kei te tiimata nui ki te 2023, engari he nui tonu te koretake mo te tipu o te ao, te pikinga me nga tirohanga kaupapa here," El-Erian tuhituhi i roto i te tuhinga op-ed i whakaputaina i runga i Bloomberg. "Ko te pai ake o nga tumanakohanga o te tipu o te US kei te haere tahi me te whakahekenga o nga penapena, i whai hua mai i te nui o nga whakawhitinga moni ki nga kaainga i te wa e pa ana te mate, me te pikinga o te nama," ta te ohanga.
El-Erian: 'Te Whakanuia te Peehanga Utu' ki te Huri Hurihanga Nui i roto i te Inflation
I kii ano a El-Erian ko te uara o bitcoin (BTC) has undergone a notable appreciation this year, and he attributes this to investors becoming more accepting of relaxed financial constraints and an increase in risk-taking attitudes. “Bitcoin is up some 25% so far this year thanks to looser financial conditions and larger risk appetites,” the economist wrote.
Ahakoa e whai ana te Federal Reserve ki te whakahoki i te pikinga ki raro ki te 2% awhe, me etahi matapae ka heke te reeti pikinga ki te 2.7% i tenei tau me te 2.3% i te tau 2024, kei te tumanako a El-Erian he raru e piri ana ki te 4%. "Ko te piki ake o te pehanga utu" kei te akiaki i tenei huringa, i kii a El-Erian.
"Ko tenei whakawhitinga he mea tino nui na te mea kua iti ake te kaha o te pikinga o te pikinga ki nga mahi kaupapa here a te peeke pokapū," ka tuhia e te ohanga. "Ko te hua ka kaha ake te pikinga o te pikinga e tata ana ki te rua o te taumata o te taumata pikinga o naianei a nga peeke pokapū."
Ka "piri" te pikinga ki te 4%, e ai ki ta te tohunga ohaoha a El-Erian? Tuhia o whakaaro i roto i nga korero i raro nei.
Kuputuhi taketake: Bitcoin.com