By Bitcoin.com - 1 tau ki muri - Wā Pānui: 4 meneti
E ai ki a Glassnode Report BitcoinKo te Whakahekenga Utu 2022 e tohu ana i te maakete pea mo nga 'Tuhinga o mua'
The crypto economy has slipped under the $1 trillion mark to the $970 billion range, as a large number of digital currencies have lost more than half their USD worth since November 2021. Bitcoin is down 70% from the all-time high last year, and a new report from Glassnode Insights calls the current bear market “a bear of historic proportions,” while highlighting that “it can reasonably be argued that 2022 is the most significant bear market in digital asset history.”
Glassnode Researchers: ‘Bitcoin Is Currently Experiencing the Largest Capital Outflow Event in History’
Many people understand that the crypto economy is currently in a bear market but no one knows where it will lead or when it will end. Bitcoin and the crypto economy, in general, have been through several bear markets and a recent Glassnode Insights pūrongo e kii ana koinei pea te mea kino rawa atu. Ko te kamupene tātari a Glassnode e whakarato ana i te tātaritanga o bitcoina (BTC) te hekenga o te utu o naianei me te paheketanga o te rawa mamati ki raro i te 200-ra neke toharite (DMA). Ko te wa 40-wiki e homai ana ki nga kaihokohoko te tirohanga mena ka heke haere tonu te ahua o naianei, ka taea hoki te tautuhi i nga utu o te papa.
Pukataata Ko te pou e whakaatu ana i te Mayer Multiple me te 200DMA me pehea e tohu ai i te maakete pea, puru ranei. "I te wa e hokohoko ana nga utu i raro iho i te 200DMA, ka kiia he maakete pea," ko nga korero a Glassnode. "I te wa e hokohoko ana nga utu i runga ake i te 200DMA, ka kiia he maakete puru." I tua atu, ka whakamahi a Glassnode i nga raraunga penei i te "utu utu," "potae mohio," me te uara o te maakete me te uara oscillator (MVRV Ratio).
"Ko te 30-ra te whakarereke i te tuunga o te potae kua mohiohia (Z-Score) ka taea e maatau te tiro i te rerenga o te whakapaipai o ia marama ki roto i te BTC asset on a statistical basis,” Glassnode’s blog post explains. “By this measure, bitcoin is currently experiencing the largest capital outflow event in history, hitting -2.73 standard deviations (SD) from the mean. This is one whole SD larger than the next largest events, occurring at the end of the 2018 Bear Market, and again in the March 2020 sell-off.”
Kua roa a Glassnode e rangahau ana, e korerorero ana mo te maakete pea o naianei, a, i te Pipiri 13, ka whakaputahia he ataata called “The Darkest Phase of the Bear.” The video looks into whether or not it is the final phase or final capitulation period in bitcoin’s price cycle. Historically, BTC kua heke iho te 80%+ ki runga i ona maakete pea nui katoa me te hekenga 80% o te utu mai i te $69K he $13,800 mo ia wae. Ko etahi o nga kaipupuri moni crypto e whakapono ana kei te tata te mutunga o te pea ko etahi e whakaaro ana kaore ano kia tae mai te mamae nui. Ko te mamae nui, ko te hohonutanga o te pouri, ko te iti rawa o te iti, ko te raro ranei kaore ano kia uru.
Glassnode’s report details that because bitcoin got so large, the impact has been magnified. “As the bitcoin market matures over time, the magnitude of potential USD denominated losses (or profits) will naturally scale alongside network growth,” Glassnode’s research report says. “However, even on a relative basis, this does not minimize the severity of this $4+ billion net loss.”
Ko nga kairangahau Glassnode hoki e ruku ana ethereum (ETH), he moni e maha ka taka ki raro iho BTC’s 80% drawdown. “Ethereum prices have spent 37.5% of its trading life in a similar regime under the realized price, a stark comparison to bitcoin at 13.9%,” Glassnode researchers wrote. “This is likely a reflection of the historical out-performance of BTC i roto i nga maakete pea i te wa e kumea ana e nga kaipupuri moni te whakapaipai ki runga ake i te anau morearea, ka roa ake te waa Tuhinga hokohoko i raro i nga turanga utu mo nga kaipupuri putea."
Kua tapirihia te Glassnode:
Ko te huringa iti o te MVRV o naianei he 0.60, me nga ra 277 anake i roto i te hitori ka tuhi i te uara iti ake, he rite ki te 11% o te hitori hokohoko.
I te wiki whakamutunga, BTC a Tuhinga i piki ake te uara o nga utu i muri i te pa kaha i te wiki o mua, ka noho whakatōpū mo te nuinga o te wiki. BTC kei te heke tonu nga utu 8.1% i roto i nga wiki e rua kua hipa, kua heke te uara USD o te rawa crypto 0.3% i roto i nga haora 24 kua hipa. Tuhinga kua paheke nga uara ki te 0.1% i roto i nga haora 24 kua hipa me te whakaatu tatauranga e rua wiki Tuhinga kei te heke 1.3% anake ki te taara US. Ko te panui a Glassnode e whakaatu ana ko nga raraunga me nga rangahau i mahia e tohu ana ki tetahi o nga maakete bear crypto tino nui i roto i te hitori.
Ka mutu te ripoata a Glassnode Insights ma te kii:
Ko nga momo rangahau e whakaahuatia ana i runga ake nei e whakaatu ana i te nui o te ngaronga o nga kaipupuri moni, te nui o te whakangaromanga o te whakapaipai, me nga mahi whakaheke kua kitea i roto i nga marama kua hipa. I runga i te roanga me te rahi o te maakete pea e mau ana, ko te tau 2022 ka taea te whakapae ko te maakete pea tino nui i roto i te hitori o nga rawa mamati.
He aha to whakaaro mo te ripoata maakete pea a Glassnode? Ka kii koe koinei tetahi o nga maakete pea kino rawa atu i te rekoata? Me mohio koe ki o whakaaro mo tenei kaupapa i te waahanga korero i raro nei.
Kuputuhi taketake: Bitcoin.com