NewsBTC - 3 മാസം മുമ്പ് - വായന സമയം: 3 മിനിറ്റ്
വിൽപത്രം Bitcoin 1-ഓടെ $2028 മില്യൺ നേടണോ? ബോൾഡ് വില പ്രവചനത്തിൽ വിദഗ്ധർ ഏറ്റുമുട്ടുന്നു
Tuur Demeester, a Bitcoin evangelist, has recently പങ്കിട്ടു his views on Bitcoin’s potential to reach the $1 million mark by 2028. Demeester’s view on this topic presents a cautious contrast to some of the more bullish predictions in the crypto community.
This tempered perspective comes when others, such as Samson Mow, express ശക്തമായ ആത്മവിശ്വാസം in Bitcoin’s ability to hit this milestone following its അടുത്ത പകുതി.
$ 1 മില്ല്യൻ Bitcoin By 2028 Is Not Certain
Demeester’s skepticism was articulated in response to a സ്ഥാനം sharing a graph by investor Fred Krueger, which suggested that Bitcoin might reach the $1,000,000 level by 2028.
While appreciating the graph’s model, Demeester expressed uncertainty, acknowledging the unpredictable nature of the market and its capacity to defy even the most well-constructed models.
Will it take BTC until after summer 2028 to reach $1M? I don’t know, but I do know that every beautiful model (as is this one ) is destined to be broken by Mr. Market. https://t.co/GcmhfL2C16
- ട്യൂമർ ഡെമേസ്റ്റസ്റ്റർ (@ ടൂർ ഡെമിസെസ്റ്റർ) ഫെബ്രുവരി 2, 2024
The anticipation surrounding BTC’s price of $1 million is closely tied to its halving events, which occur approximately every four years. After this year’s halving, the next halving is set to occur in 2028. These events reduce the number of new BTC mined per block by half, limiting the supply and potentially impacting the price.
ദി വരാനിരിക്കുന്ന പകുതി, set for April this year, will see the daily minting of Bitcoin slashed from 900 to 450 coins. Such supply changes have historically led to significant price movements, lending credibility to the various models predicting substantial future price increases.
Amid these predictions, an X user, claiming ownership of the growth plot referenced by Demeester, chimed in with insights. They argued that some market laws, like the time value of money in the stock market, are less likely to be broken.
Similarly, the natural adoption rate of Bitcoin might constrain its “explosive” growth, providing room for market movements without breaking the underlying model.
Hi Tuur, this plot is mine. Some laws are not broken by Mr Market, e.g. the stock market grows by ~7% p.a. This cannot be broken to the upside because of the time value of money (essentially). The time-based power-law likewise is hard to break to the upside because that would go…
— hcburger (@hcburger1) ഫെബ്രുവരി 2, 2024
Diverse Views On Bitcoinന്റെ ഭാവി
മറ്റു Bitcoin enthusiasts, like Samson Mow, CEO of Jan3, are more optimistic. Mow envisions Bitcoin $1 ദശലക്ഷം എത്തുന്നു, potentially in a sudden surge causing “പരമാവധി വേദന” for several market players.
This dramatic increase, he suggests, could happen swiftly, within “days or weeks,” though the precise starting point remains uncertain.
എന്റെ പ്രധാന പ്രവചനം $1M വരെയുള്ള ഓട്ടം ദിവസങ്ങൾ മുതൽ ആഴ്ചകൾ വരെയാണ്. ആരംഭ പോയിന്റ് TBD.
- സാംസൺ മാവ് (@ സെസെല്ലോൺ) ജനുവരി 14, 2024
In analyzing potential triggers for a Bitcoin rally, Mow considers various ഘടകങ്ങൾ, ഇവ ഉൾപ്പെടുന്നു Bitcoin-specific metrics like exchange-traded inflows (ETF), the BTC hashrate, and whale activity on Bitfinex. Additionally, Mow looks at broader economic indicators such as Tether’s USDT assets under management, government debt payments, and Debt-to-GDP ratios.
ഇവയൊക്കെയാണ് #Bitcoin ഞാൻ നോക്കുന്ന മാക്രോ സൂചകങ്ങൾ:
ETF ഒഴുകുന്നു Hashrate Finex whale accumulation 200 WMA ട്രെൻഡ് ടെതർ USDt AUM ഗവൺമെൻ്റ് പലിശ പേയ്‌മെൻ്റുകൾ കടത്തിൻ്റെ ജിഡിപി അനുപാതങ്ങൾ രാഷ്ട്ര-സംസ്ഥാനം Bitcoin ദത്തെടുക്കൽ യഥാർത്ഥ പണപ്പെരുപ്പം M3 പണം
- സാംസൺ മാവ് (@ സെസെല്ലോൺ) ജനുവരി 28, 2024
Mow believes these factors, combined with nation-state adoption, real inflation rates, and the M3 money supply, could significantly influence Bitcoin'ന്റെ പ്രകടനം.
Amid the debate, Bitcoin saw quite a surge in the past 24 hours, reclaiming the $43,000 mark with a current trading price of $43,123.
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