By Bitcoin.com - २ वर्ष अगाडि - पढ्ने समय: ३ मिनेट
बिटमेक्स सह-संस्थापक आर्थर हेस भन्छन् Bitcoin स्टक मार्केट राउटको बीचमा $ 30K मा खस्न सक्छ
The co-founder and former CEO of Bitmex, Arthur Hayes, has published a new blog post concerning the current state of cryptocurrency markets. Hayes says currently there’s an inability to recognize the cyclical nature of markets and the “inconvenient truth” that is crypto is now moving in “lockstep” with market equities. Hayes expects the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) to experience a significant 30% to 50% drawdown and leading crypto assets like bitcoin and ethereum to drop in value too, amid a great deal of stock market carnage.
जबकि दीर्घकालीन क्रिप्टो बजार आउटलुक उज्यालो थियो, बिटमेक्स सह-संस्थापकको छोटो अवधिको परिप्रेक्ष्य डरलाग्दो छ।
क्रिप्टो अर्थतन्त्र सोमबार २ ट्रिलियन डलरको अंकमा झरेको छ, ४.७% झरेर १.९८ ट्रिलियन डलरमा झरेको छ। यो गिरावटको श्रेय फेडरल रिजर्भको अपेक्षित दर वृद्धिलाई दिइएको छ किनभने अर्थशास्त्रीहरू विश्वास गर्छन् कि अमेरिकी केन्द्रीय बैंकले "मे र जुनमा दुईवटा ब्याक-टू-ब्याक आधा-बिन्दु ब्याज दर वृद्धि गर्ने अपेक्षा गरिएको छ," एक अनुसार। रायटर पोल। सर्वेक्षण गरिएका अर्थशास्त्रीहरूले पनि अर्को वर्ष मन्दी आउने सम्भावना ४० प्रतिशत हुने अनुमान गरेका छन् । मार्चको मध्यमा प्रकाशित ब्लग पोस्ट पछि, बिटमेक्सका सह-संस्थापक आर्थर हेसले निकट अवधिको लागि केही नयाँ भविष्यवाणीहरू लेखेका छन्।
मार्च 16 मा अन्तिम ब्लग पोस्ट व्याख्या that Hayes believes the end of the “Petro Dollar / Euro Dollar monetary system” is drawing closer. Hayes also said that he predicted gold’s value could reach $10K per ounce while bitcoin (BTC) marches to $1 million per coin. However, the blog post published on April 10 paints a different picture, as Hayes is predicting a crypto market downturn. Via the blog post and sharing a great number of charts, Hayes shows that bitcoin (BTC) and crypto markets, in general, are very correlated with stocks at the moment.
Hayes Nasdaq 100 (NDX) काँप्ने आशा गर्दछ र उनी विश्वास गर्छन् कि क्रिप्टो बजारहरू टेन्डममा पछ्याउनेछन्। NDX लगभग 30% वा 50% सम्म पनि कम हुने उनको अनुमान छ तर उनी निश्चित छैनन्। Hayes स्पष्ट छ, तथापि, फेडरल रिजर्भले मौद्रिक सहज अभ्यासहरूमा रोक लगाएको छ र त्यो समय समाप्त भएको छ। "[NDX] 30% तल? ... तल 50%? ... तपाईंको अनुमान मेरो जत्तिकै राम्रो छ," हेसले आइतवार भने। "तर स्पष्ट होऔं - फेडले चाँडै नै आफ्नो ब्यालेन्स शीट बढाउने योजना बनाएको छैन, यसको अर्थ इक्विटीहरू कुनै माथि जाँदैन," Bitmex सह-संस्थापकले थपे।
Crypto Derivatives Exchange Co-Founder’s Predictions: Bitcoin $30,000, Ethereum $2,500
Hayes thinks that the crypto economy will follow suit with U.S. technology stocks and will drop significantly lower in value in the coming months. The crypto derivatives exchange co-founder highlights that there are “many crypto market pundits who believe the worst is over” but he believes they “ignore the inconvenient truth.” While Hayes predicts the NDX will slide by 30% or even 50% lower, he predicts bitcoin (BTC) प्रति एकाइ $ 30K मा खस्नेछ। हेजले दोस्रो प्रमुख क्रिप्टो सम्पत्ति, इथरियम (ETH), प्रति एकाइ $ 2,500 मा स्लाइड गर्न। नम्बर हेसले प्राविधिक विश्लेषण दृष्टिकोणबाट नभई उसले विश्वास गरेको कुराबाट आएको हो।
“There isn’t much science to these numbers other than a gut feeling,” Hayes writes. “The annoying part is that there are a number of altcoins I have begun to accumulate because the prices are quite attractive. Even though some of these coins are already down 75% from their all-time high, I don’t believe even they can escape the coming crypto carnage. As such, I am buying crash June 2022 puts on both bitcoin and ether.”
Hayes ends his blog post by saying that of course, his “market prognosis might be wrong” and he is fine with that. If he is wrong then he only loses the premium he paid on crash protection. “I will be wrong if the correlation between bitcoin / ether and NDX starts dropping before a crash in risk asset markets,” Hayes’s blog post concludes. “I’m perfectly okay with that outcome, as I’m already in a long crypto position.”
बिटमेक्स सह-संस्थापकको हालैको ब्लग पोष्टबाट क्रिप्टो बजार भविष्यवाणीहरूको बारेमा तपाइँ के सोच्नुहुन्छ? हामीलाई थाहा दिनुहोस् कि तपाइँ तलको टिप्पणी सेक्सनमा यस विषयमा के सोच्नुहुन्छ।
मूल स्रोत: Bitcoin.com