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Price Slump For Bitcoin Looming As VIX Rises Back Above 20
le Bitcoin price has currently stabilized strongly around the $17,000 mark. However, the price could face further headwinds in the coming days, as the VIX exposes.
O le VIX o se fa'asologa moni o taimi fa'atatau mai le Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE). Na faia e faʻatatauina faʻamoemoega maketi o le feteʻenaʻi.
I le faia o lea mea, o le VIX o loʻo vaʻavaʻai i luma, o lona uiga e naʻo le faʻaalia o le vaʻaia o le S&P 500 (SPX) mo le isi 30 aso.
O le mea moni, afai e alu i luga le tau VIX, o le S&P 500 e ono alu i lalo, ma afai e alu i lalo le tau VIX, o le S&P 500 o le a tumau pea i luga.
O le mea tonu lava lea na vaaia ananafi. O le VIX na oso i luga i le 19, o se tulaga na mulimuli ane vaaia i le ogatotonu o Aukuso. O se taunuuga, o le S&P 500 na leiloa le vaega lagolago i vaiaso taitasi i le 4040 ma pa'ū 1.8%. Ia Aukuso, o le taimi mulimuli na maualalo ai le VIX, na toe faʻaleleia, ma o le S&P 500 na pa'ū 15%.
VIX,1D siata Punavai: TradingViewThe Importance Of The VIX For Bitcoin
Besides the VIX and the S&P 500, it is important to understand that Bitcoin, with higher beta, is highly correlated with the S&P 500. This means that the Bitcoin price is more sensitive to changes in the market in both directions.
E pei ona valoia e le VIX, o le BTC na oso ese mai le $ 17,400 faʻasaga i le teteʻe ananafi ma pa'ū i lalo o le $ 17,000.
In October, when the VIX was down, and the S&P 500 was up, Bitcoin experienced a black swan event with the FTX collapse, after which BTC fell to $15,500. Thus, the Bitcoin price did not enjoy the momentum of the VIX.
At the moment, a possible reversal of the VIX at 19 could serve as a kind of sentiment barometer for the S&P 500 and Bitcoin for the next few weeks. The VIX is being compared to the 2006-2009 crash, a nasty outlook that would mean much lower prices.
Na tusia e le au suʻesuʻe Sam Rule e faapea o le BTC talu ai nei o loʻo mulimuli i faʻatauga o loʻo tupu i le taimi o loʻo faʻavaivaia ai le VIX i le maualuga o le 20. E ui lava o loʻo i ai se faʻaogaina tele o alamanuia faʻaumatia i le pisinisi crypto, e leʻi oʻo lava i le maketi o oloa. se mea faapena.
Tuuina atu Bitcoin’s correlation with the S&P 500, this could mean another price drop, as Rule tusia:
O le 25% o le toso mai le ATH na o mea uma tatou te maua i le S&P 500 i lenei taamilosaga i le taimi o le osooso o mea sili ona manaia? E te faʻamoemoe #BTC i lalo iinei pe a pa'ū le SPX scenario>40% mai le ATH i masina a sau?
SPX toso mai le ATH 1-vaiaso, Punavai: Twitter
Aisea e fa'atapula'a ai le fa'aogaina o le VIX ile BTC
Ae ui i lea, o le VIX e le tatau ona faʻaaogaina e na o le pau lea o le faʻamaoniga o le faʻatonuga o maketi i le lumanaʻi. Aisea?
O le VIX e faʻalagolago i faʻamoemoega faʻatulagaina e mea na tutupu i taimi ua tuanaʻi nai lo mea o le a tupu i le lumanaʻi. O le aufaipisinisi e lauiloa tele i le fiafia le mafaufau.
E le gata i lea, e le mafai e le VIX ona faʻamatalaga mo mea faʻafuaseʻi, faʻafuaseʻi mea tutupu e mafai ona mafua ai le malosi o le maketi. Ae ui i lea, o nei mea na tutupu o le ki lea e iloa ai se suiga i le maketi, e pei o le pito i lalo o maketi.
O le mea lea, Bitcoin investors should also keep an eye on other factors, such as the upcoming decision by the U.S. Federal Reserve on further interest rate policy, further contagion effects in the crypto market, and other intrinsic factors, such as miner cappitulation.
Punavai autu: NewsBTC