By Bitcoin Majalah - 2 sababaraha taun ka pengker - Waktos Bacaan: 2 menit
Bitcoin Price Surge Unlikely With System Volatility So High
With the VIX indicating systemic volatility, it's hard to imagine bitcoin making a larger upwards move in price.
Di handap ieu tina édisi panganyarna tina Deep Dive, Bitcoin newsletter pasar premium majalah urang. Janten diantara anu pangheulana nampi wawasan ieu sareng anu sanés dina ranté bitcoin analisis pasar langsung ka koropak anjeun, ngalanggan kiwari.
Indéks harga produser Amérika Serikat (PPI) panganyarna dileupaskeun kamari énjing nunjukkeun parobahan indéks taunan 10%. PPI ngalacak parobahan harga anu ditampi pikeun barang sareng jasa di sakumna produser domestik sareng bakal janten input konci anu penting dina kaputusan Federal Reserve Board pikeun ngémutan kawijakan moneter énjing dina nyanghareupan inflasi anu surut.
Pertumbuhan PPI Amérika Serikat masih langkung handap tina naon anu urang tingali di sakuliah Uni Éropa sareng kamungkinan bakal neraskeun langkung luhur dina sasih-sasih anu bakal datang sabab biaya input produser ngantunkeun naékna harga komoditi sareng énergi. Di handap ieu kami ningali tren akselerasi anu jelas dina Indéks Harga Konsumén sareng PPI masangkeun réspon COVID-19, anu sumping nganggo stimulus fiskal sareng moneter anu teu pernah aya.
CPI sareng PPI ngagancangkeun saatos réspon ékonomi COVID-19Volatility in the system remains elevated with the VIX over 31. The initial volatility spikes back in Q4 2021 coincided with the market sell-off in bitcoin and the S&P 500 Index. Based on its historic moves and relationship to the VIX, it’s hard to imagine bitcoin making a larger upwards move with overall equity market volatility so high in the short term. We would have to see a major, fundamental shift (decoupling) or catalyst in the market to change our view.
Kasus dasar urang nyaéta yén urang kedah aya kejutan volatilitas ngabeledug anu sanés sareng yén VIX henteu acan ngahontal tingkat taunanna. Urang ogé nempo likelihood resesi di AS salaku kapastian deukeut leuwih opat suku datang, sakumaha pertumbuhan nyata dipikaresep reverses dina nyanghareupan soaring harga énergi jeung rising ngahasilkeun.
With a U.S. recession a near certainty, the bitcoin price is unlikely to surge upwardskeur bitcoin bulls, the encouraging sign is that under the surface, accumulation is occurring, with free-float supply continuing to decrease, as quantified by a variety of on-chain metrics.
Sanajan kitu, alatan maca accelerating inflasi sakuliah sektor ékonomi global, pasar kiridit keur ngajual kaluar, sahingga liquidity pasar lega nurunna sakumaha volatility terus elevate.
Dina panempoan urang, pasar bakal boga titik nyeri na diuji dina bentuk ngahasilkeun luhur salila 2022, sarta éta lain masalah lamun tapi lamun Fed mutuskeun pikeun campur pikeun quell kaayaan pasar kiridit.
sumber aslina: Bitcoin majalah