By Bitcoin Majalah - 2 sababaraha taun ka pengker - Waktos Bacaan: 6 menit
The Overton Window And Bitcoin
As Bitcoin enters the mainstream conversation, it is becoming increasingly common for politicians to embrace or disparage the technology.
As Bitcoin moves into its adolescence, many people from all walks of life, from all across the world may be pondering the question: Is Bitcoin mainstream? Is it in the process of becoming mainstream? Or is it something that may never become mainstream?
The answer to this question will likely have profound effects on how governments around the world behave toward Bitcoin in its teenage years.
Alesan anu persepsi publik muterkeun hiji peran badag dina kumaha pamaréntah kalakuanana ka arah topik nu tangtu patali jeung konsép disebut Overton jandela.
In this article, we examine the Overton window: What it is, how it relates to Bitcoin, and whether the Overton window for Bitcoin has shifted far enough toward mainstream to warrant support from governments.
Naon Dupi The Overton jandela?
Wikipedia nyatakeun,
"Jandela Overton nyaéta rentang kawijakan anu ditarima sacara politis pikeun populasi mainstream dina waktos anu ditangtukeun. Éta ogé katelah jandela wacana.
"Istilah ieu dingaranan analis kawijakan Amérika Joseph P. Overton, who stated that an idea's political viability depends mainly on whether it falls within this range, rather than on politicians' individual preferences. According to Overton, the window frames the range of policies that a politician can recommend without appearing too extreme to gain or keep public office given the climate of pendapat umum dina waktos éta."
Dina inti jandela Overton nyaeta persepsi publik. Sabalikna naon anu dipikirkeun ku seueur jalma, politikus, sahenteuna politikus anu hoyong tetep di kantor, teu tiasa ngadamel kawijakan anu dipikahoyong. Sabalikna, aranjeunna kedah milih tina sajumlah kawijakan anu tiasa ditarima sacara politis dina waktos éta. Jandéla Overton ngahartikeun éta rentang ide.
Conto gerakan anu geus pindah ti pinggiran - luar jandela Overton - ka mainstream kaasup hak pilih awéwé, sarua ras jeung pamakéan ganja rekreasi. Sakali gerakan ieu janten mainstream, kawijakan pamaréntah mimiti align dina ngarojong gerakan.
How Does The Overton Window Relate To Bitcoin?
Now that we have a fundamental understanding of the Overton window, let’s examine how it relates to Bitcoin. Bitcoin turned 13 on January 3, 2022. During its first 13 years, it has gone from a network primarily used by cryptography enthusiasts, extreme privacy advocates, hardcore libertarians and Austrian economic enthusiasts to something used by everyday individuals all around the world, companies small and large and even nation-states such as El Salvador.
With the understanding that the Overton window dictates “the range of policies politically acceptable to the mainstream population at a given time,” we can then ask ourselves, “Has the Overton window for Bitcoin shifted far enough toward the mainstream to warrant support from governments?” To answer that question, let’s examine the U.S. government's actions related to Bitcoin to date and then extrapolate what those actions may mean moving forward.
United States Government And Bitcoin
Sabalikna naon loba bitcoin skeptics may say, in examining the U.S. government actions surrounding bitcoin to date, one would be hard-pressed to find anything overly burdensome. In 2014, the IRS classified bitcoin as sipat. The United States has some of the strongest property rights of any country in the world. Bitcoin being classified as property affords it the same legal protections as other types of personal property, such as real estate, and is an important reason that some of the largest bitcoin holders choose to own their bitcoin di Amérika Serikat.
Dina 2017, anu CME Grup, working in conjunction with the CFTC, launched a bitcoin futures market, an important step for any commodity.
Komisi Sekuritas sareng Bursa AS (SEC) ngagaduhan sababaraha kali reiterated that bitcoin is not a security and thus not within their field of regulation. Other cryptocurrencies, on the other hand, may be in for a rude awakening when it comes to panerapan SEC.
Dina 2020, Kantor Pengawas Mata Uang masihan bank-bank anu disewa federally lampu héjo pikeun panjagaan bitcoin.
Dina 2021, kahiji bitcoin Dana didagangkeun bursa (ETF) in the United States was approved. Yes, the ETF is based on bitcoin futures and does not hold physical bitcoin, but the fact that a bitcoin ETF product was approved at all is just another feather in the cap of bitcoin when it comes to favorable regulation in America.
So, when we review the totality of government action related to bitcoin in the United States, we can see that the U.S. government has been supportive of bitcoin overall to date. Now let’s turn our attention to what this may mean moving forward for Bitcoin as it relates to the Overton window.
Is The Time Right For Politicians And Governments To Lean Into The Bitcoin Gerakan?
With millions of people owning bitcoin, corporations of all sizes owning bitcoin, Komo
nation-states owning bitcoin, éta jelas yén Bitcoin has, or is in the process of, passing through the Overton window in many parts of the world. That being the case, the time is ripe for politicians and governments to lean into the Bitcoin movement and use it to their advantage.
We’re starting to see the first inklings of this play out. In the United States, politicians such as Cynthia Lummis, Ted Cruz, Aarika Rhodes, Tom Emmer and others are leaning into pro-Bitcoin politics. In doing so, they’re tapping into a large base of voters who care about the issue of Bitcoin more than they do any other issue. This large single-issue voting block is powerful for any politician to tap into, as they tend to be very vocal and, in a world of 24/7 social media influence, being vocal is important. Dennis Porter wrote a great article, “Why Bitcoin Represents The Ultimate Single-Issue Voting Bloc.” I highly suggest you read it Ieuh.
Another great example of politicians and governments leaning into Bitcoin is President Nayib Bukele and El Salvador. Bukele and El Salvador burst onto the international scene in 2020 when they announced a law that would make bitcoin legal tender. Instead of continuing to be beholden to agencies such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank for funding, El Salvador instead chose to plug into the Bitcoin network. Bukele became internationally recognized almost overnight, and the country of El Salvador went from being a small country, mostly forgotten by the West, to being on the international stage. You can bet that other countries are considering similar actions.
Now that we’ve reviewed several examples of politicians and governments taking advantage of the shifting Overton window for Bitcoin, let’s review an example of a government trying to keep Bitcoin out of the Overton window: China.
Cina geus "ngalarang Bitcoin” more times than I count. Which makes sense when you think about it. A Communist country run by a dictator doesn’t want its people having access to a global, distributed, censorship-resistant sovereign monetary system? Shocking! However, in 2021, China took its disdain for Bitcoin to a whole new level. They were serious this time. They cracked down on miners, resulting in 50% of the Bitcoin hash rate being relocated to friendlier jurisdictions. They cracked down on exchanges, forcing accounts serving Chinese citizens to be closed. They generally put enough fear into enough people to dissuade many of them from interacting with Bitcoin. China put on a classic display of attempting to keep a movement from shifting into the Overton window. In my opinion, history will not be kind to China for its grave mistake.
kacindekan
Jandéla Overton mangrupa konsép penting pikeun ngarti. Kantun nempatkeun, jandela Overton
dictates a range of policies that are acceptable to the mainstream population for a given topic at a given time. As Bitcoin embarks on its teenage years, and adoption continues to grow, it is clear that the Overton window for Bitcoin has shifted, or is at least in the process of shifting. Politicians and governments around the world will be well served to lean into the Bitcoin movement, use it to their advantage to attract single-issue voters, and to strengthen their position on the global stage. In the United States and El Salvador, we are seeing this process begin to play out. In other countries, such as China, we see attempts to thwart Bitcoin before it can pass through the Overton window. In my opinion, these countries will look back and realize that trying to stop the inevitable was a grave mistake.
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