Bitcoin Price Prediction: What Elliott Wave Theory Suggests Is Next For BTC

NewsBTC tomonidan - 1 yil oldin - O'qish vaqti: 5 daqiqa
8-yil 2022-dekabr, payshanba, 5:25

Bitcoin Price Prediction: What Elliott Wave Theory Suggests Is Next For BTC

har qanday Bitcoin price prediction is just a guess without a basis to make the forecast. The aktsiyadorlik modeli Bu bir vaqtlar yuqori narxlarni kutishning eng ko'p keltirilgan sababi bo'lib, texnik tahlil, zanjirdagi signallar va statistikani kelajakdagi narx maqsadlarini topish uchun eng yaxshi imkoniyat sifatida qoldirib, muvaffaqiyatsizlikka uchradi.

Elliott Wave Theory is a technical analysis forecasting methodology discovered in the 1930s, which is based on identifying extremes in investor psychology combined with distinctive price behavior. With Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies being so susceptible to the ebb and flow of investor sentiment, here is what Elliott Wave Theory suggests about what is to come for Bitcoin Narx.

BTC narxi harakatining qisqacha tarixi

The Bitcoin price index chart begins in late 2010, with the first-ever cryptocurrency trading at only pennies on the dollar. By the end of 2011, the price per BTC grew by more than 60,000%. Before the year came to a close, it has lost 94% of its value.

Taxminan $2 dan past narxdan boshlab yana bir yuksalish impulsi yana 60,000 XNUMX% ROI qo'shdi. 2013 yil cho'qqisiga qadar. Yana bir keskin tuzatish bosqichi bo'lib, kriptovalyutani 86% ga qisqartirdi.

What followed was arguably the most talked about bull run since the dot com bubble, when in 2017 Bitcoin reached nearly $20,000 per coin. By now, we can see that extreme price swings and pivots in investors sentiment lead to boom and bust cycles across crypto. Bitcoin once again found a bottom at $3,000 in 2018, which will be the basis of the remainder of the analysis.

Elliott to'lqinlari nazariyasiga kirish

Birinchi marta 1930-yillarda Ralf Nelson Elliott tomonidan kashf etilgan. Elliott to'lqin nazariyasi bozorlarning vaqt o'tishi bilan qanday o'sishini tushuntirish uchun asosdir. EWTdagi harakatlantiruvchi to'lqin bozorning uch qadam oldinga va ikki qadam orqaga harakatlanishiga misoldir.

Ushbu bosqichlar o'sish va tuzatish bosqichlari o'rtasida oldinga va orqaga almashadi. Harakatlanuvchi to'lqinlar jami beshta to'lqindan iborat - toq sonli to'lqinlar birlamchi tendentsiya yo'nalishi bo'yicha harakatlanadi va unga qarshi harakatlanuvchi juft sonli to'lqinlar.

Garchi tuzatish bosqichlari qiymatning keskin pasayishiga olib kelgan bo'lsa-da, qo'shimcha o'sish har doim asosiy tendentsiya yo'nalishida qoladi. Ham impulsiv, ham tuzatuvchi to'lqinlar har xil darajada va vaqt oralig'ida paydo bo'ladi.

For example, a five-wave impulse on the daily timeframe could only be a tiny portion of a multi-century Grand Supercycle. Figuring out where Bitcoin is along in its various wave cycles and degrees can help to predict future price action.

EWT ma'lumotlariga ko'ra, joriy bozor tsiklini ko'rib chiqish

Each wave in an impulse has unique characteristics which can help an analysis decipher where an asset is in an overall motive wave. Following the 2018 bear market bottom, crypto had a clean slate to move up from. In 2019, Bitcoin rallied to $13,800, showing the market there was still life in the speculative asset.

Deyarli butun miting orqaga qaytdi, bu 2-to'lqinni tuzatishning umumiy xususiyati. Tuzatishlar keskin va tekis uslubdagi tuzatishlar o'rtasida almashishga moyildir. O'tkir tuzatishlar zig-zaglar bilan ifodalanadi. To'lqin 2 o'zini zig-zag kabi tutdi va 2020 yil mart oyida bo'lishini inkor etib bo'lmaydi. Qora payshanba qulashi keskin tuzatish edi.

Wave 3 in Elliott Wave is typically the longest and strongest wave, marked by much wider participation than wave 1. The crowd begins piling at this point. Bitcoin gained national media attention as it reached new all-times during this wave. From there, things get more confusing.

Elliott to'lqini amaliyotchilari, agar BTCUSD o'zining 4-to'lqini va 5-to'lqin fazalarini allaqachon tugatgan bo'lsa yoki 4-to'lqin hali davom etayotgan bo'lsa va 5-to'lqin hali kelmasa, bo'linadi. Ushbu ikkita stsenariydan foydalanib, ba'zi maqsadlarni ko'rib chiqish mumkin.

Ayiq va buqa stsenariylari va maqsadlari

Ayiqcha stsenariyda a kesilgan to'lqin 5 yakunladi Bitcoin bull run and sent the crypto market into its first true bear phase, with wave 5 of V finished and done, ending the primary cycle (pictured above).

Completed bull markets often retrace back into wave 3/4 territory when the motive wave is completed. Bearish price targets put the negative Bitcoin price prediction from anywhere between $9,000 to as low as $2,000 in a complete collapse of the market. A larger catastrophe in the stock market and housing could ultimately do the trick by pulling whatever capital that’s left out of crypto.

The bullish scenario is much more positive, and better fits with what Elliott Wave Theory calls “the right look” and proper counting. In the bullish scenario, Bitcoin is in the final stages of an kengaytirilgan tekis tuzatish, va his-tuyg'u va narx ekstremal tugagandan so'ng, eng yuqori kriptovalyuta boshqa ko'tarilgan narxlari ekstremal va his-tuyg'u switch o'rnatish uchun tez off bo'ladi, har kim tayyor ko'ra ancha tezroq.

Using EWT To Make A Bitcoin Narxlarni bashorat qilish

Elliott to'lqin nazariyasi ortidagi sehr va nima uchun u moliyaviy bozorlardagi o'sishga ta'sir qiladi, uning Fibonachchi raqamlari bilan aloqalari bilan bog'liq. Fibonachchi raqamlar Fibonachchi ketma-ketligiga asoslanadi, bu oltin nisbat bilan bog'liq. Fibonachchi ketma-ketligi 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21 va hokazolarni o'qiydi.

Elliott to'lqinlari nazariyasida oddiydan murakkabgacha bo'lgan 21 ta tuzatuvchi naqsh mavjud. Harakatlantiruvchi to'lqin 5 to'lqin yuqoriga, tuzatuvchi to'lqinlar esa 3 to'lqin pastga, ularni qo'shganda jami 8 ta to'lqin hosil qiladi. Barcha pastki to'lqinlar bilan to'liq amalga oshirilgan impuls to'lqini 21 to'lqin yuqoriga, tuzatuvchi fazalar esa 13 to'lqingacha pastga tushadi. Ketma-ketlikdagi har bir Fibonachchi raqami ba'zi imkoniyatlarga kiritilgan.

Tuzatishlar, shuningdek, Fibonachchi retracement darajalarida to'xtaydi va impulslar narx maqsadlari sifatida Fibonachchi kengaytmalariga etadi. 5-to'lqin odatda kattaligi bo'yicha 1-to'lqin yoki 3-to'lqinga teng. Agar 5-to'lqin uzaytirilsa va u ko'pincha kriptoda bo'lsa, 5-to'lqinning maqsadi 1.618-to'lqinning 3 yoki 1.618-to'lqin va 1-to'lqin yig'indisining 3 oralig'ida tushishi mumkin.

Bitcoin price reached the 3.618 extension from the bear market bottom, making it possible that the top cryptocurrency overshoots once again. On the lowest end, a 1.618 price target would put the peak of BTC for this cycle somewhere close to $96,000 per coin, while another 3.618 extension could take the top cryptocurrency all the way to $194,000 per BTC.

Bu qiladi Bitcoin price prediction using EWT anywhere between $100K to $200K before the cycle is over. You can watch this Bitcoin price prediction unfold in real-time by bookmarking the idea on TradingView.

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