By Bitcoin.com - 2 yil oldin - O'qish vaqti: 4 daqiqa
Bitmex Co-Founder Arthur Hayes Says Bitcoin Could Drop to $30K Amid a Stock Market Rout
The co-founder and former CEO of Bitmex, Arthur Hayes, has published a new blog post concerning the current state of cryptocurrency markets. Hayes says currently there’s an inability to recognize the cyclical nature of markets and the “inconvenient truth” that is crypto is now moving in “lockstep” with market equities. Hayes expects the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) to experience a significant 30% to 50% drawdown and leading crypto assets like bitcoin and ethereum to drop in value too, amid a great deal of stock market carnage.
Kripto bozorining uzoq muddatli istiqboli yorqin bo'lsa-da, Bitmex hammuassislarining qisqa muddatli istiqboli qo'rqinchli
Dushanba kuni kripto-iqtisodiyot 2 trillion dollar belgisi ostiga tushib, 4.7 foizga tushib, 1.98 trillion dollarga tushdi. Iqtisodchilarning fikricha, AQSh Markaziy banki "may va iyun oylarida ikki marta yarim ballli foiz stavkasini ketma-ket oshirishi kutilmoqda", deb taxmin qilishlaricha, pasayish Federal rezervning kutilayotgan stavkalari oshishi bilan bog'liq. Reuters so'rovi. So'rovda qatnashgan iqtisodchilar, shuningdek, kelgusi yilda retsessiya ehtimoli 40% ni tashkil qiladi. Mart oyi o'rtalarida chop etilgan blog postidan so'ng, Bitmex asoschilaridan biri Artur Xeys yaqin muddatga yangi bashoratlarni yozdi.
Oxirgi blog posti 16 mart tushuntirdi that Hayes believes the end of the “Petro Dollar / Euro Dollar monetary system” is drawing closer. Hayes also said that he predicted gold’s value could reach $10K per ounce while bitcoin (BTC) marches to $1 million per coin. However, the blog post published on April 10 paints a different picture, as Hayes is predicting a crypto market downturn. Via the blog post and sharing a great number of charts, Hayes shows that bitcoin (BTC) and crypto markets, in general, are very correlated with stocks at the moment.
Xeys Nasdaq 100 (NDX) titrashini kutmoqda va kripto bozorlari tandemga ergashishiga ishonadi. U NDX taxminan 30% yoki hatto 50% ga tushishini taxmin qilmoqda, ammo u ishonchi komil emas. Biroq, Xeys, Federal rezerv pulni yumshatish amaliyotini to'xtatganini va bu vaqt tugaganini aniq ko'rsatmoqda. “[NDX] 30% pasayganmi? ... 50% pasayganmi? ... sizning taxminingiz menikidek yaxshi, - dedi Xeys yakshanba kuni. "Ammo aniq aytaylik - Fed tez orada o'z balansini o'stirishni rejalashtirmayapti, ya'ni qimmatli qog'ozlar ko'tarilmaydi", deya qo'shimcha qildi Bitmex hammuassisi.
Crypto Derivatives Exchange Co-Founder’s Predictions: Bitcoin $30,000, Ethereum $2,500
Hayes thinks that the crypto economy will follow suit with U.S. technology stocks and will drop significantly lower in value in the coming months. The crypto derivatives exchange co-founder highlights that there are “many crypto market pundits who believe the worst is over” but he believes they “ignore the inconvenient truth.” While Hayes predicts the NDX will slide by 30% or even 50% lower, he predicts bitcoin (BTC) bir birlik uchun 30 ming dollarga tushadi. Xeys shuningdek, ikkinchi yetakchi kripto aktivi ethereumni kutmoqda (ETH), har bir birlik uchun 2,500 dollargacha siljish. Hayes o'ylab topgan raqamlar texnik tahlil nuqtai nazaridan emas, balki u ishongan narsadan kelib chiqadi.
“There isn’t much science to these numbers other than a gut feeling,” Hayes writes. “The annoying part is that there are a number of altcoins I have begun to accumulate because the prices are quite attractive. Even though some of these coins are already down 75% from their all-time high, I don’t believe even they can escape the coming crypto carnage. As such, I am buying crash June 2022 puts on both bitcoin and ether.”
Hayes ends his blog post by saying that of course, his “market prognosis might be wrong” and he is fine with that. If he is wrong then he only loses the premium he paid on crash protection. “I will be wrong if the correlation between bitcoin / ether and NDX starts dropping before a crash in risk asset markets,” Hayes’s blog post concludes. “I’m perfectly okay with that outcome, as I’m already in a long crypto position.”
Bitmex hammuassisi yaqindagi blog postidagi kripto bozori bashoratlari haqida qanday fikrdasiz? Quyidagi sharhlar bo'limida ushbu mavzu haqida qanday fikrda ekanligingizni bizga xabar bering.
Asl manba: Bitcoin.com