By Bitcoin.com - 1 yil oldin - O'qish vaqti: 2 daqiqa
Tovarlar bo'yicha strategi Mayk MakGlone retsessiyani oltinning 2,000 dollardan oshishi uchun asosiy katalizator sifatida bashorat qilmoqda
This week, Bloomberg Intelligence senior macro strategist Mike McGlone shared his March outlook and noted that the “top catalyst” that could push gold above the $2,000-per-ounce range is a recession. McGlone further explained in an update about bitcoin and the Nasdaq that a key ingredient to force the U.S. Federal Reserve to pivot its stance is “a sharp drop in the stock market.”
Mayk MakGlon mart oyidagi qimmatbaho metallar va kriptovalyutalar bo'yicha prognozlarini baham ko'radi
Gold and silver prices were lower this past week, with gold close to dropping below the $1,800-per-ounce range and silver clinging just above the $20-per-ounce range. The global cryptocurrency market capitalization today is $1.08 trillion, a decrease of around 1.57% over the last day. Earlier this week, Bloomberg Intelligence senior macro strategist Mayk MakGlone shared his March predictions concerning assets like commodities, precious metals, equities, and bitcoin. haqida bitcoin, McGlone savollar yaqinda bo'lib o'tgan miting bo'sh edimi yoki mustahkam tiklanishmi.
The Bloomberg analyst noted that “cryptos have never faced a U.S. recession, Fed tightening, and the bitcoin 50-week moving average below the 200-week.” McGlone detailed that at some point, most risk assets will bottom, but with the U.S. central bank still in tightening mode, most markets have bounced. “Bitcoin’s 50-week moving average has never crossed below its 200-week level amid the Fed’s tightening, and the crypto has bounced to this line in the sand at about $25,000,” McGlone said. The macro strategist added:
Swift snap-backs are typical of bear markets and if bitcoin can sustain above $25,000, it would signal divergent strength vs. central-bank.
Oltinga kelsak, agar AQSh iqtisodiyoti tanazzulga yuz tutsa, qimmatbaho metalning bir birligi 2,000 dollarga yetishi uchun yaxshi imkoniyat bor, deydi MakGlon opined. "Taxminan 30 yil ichida rentabellik egri chizig'idan iqtisodiy qisqarishning eng katta potentsiali va Federal zahiraning hali ham qattiqlashishi 2023 yilda ko'pchilik metallarni pasaytirishi va oltinni oshirishi mumkin", deb yozadi strateg. "AQShdagi retsessiya metallning narxini untsiya uchun 2,000 dollardan oshishi mumkin bo'lgan asosiy katalizatordir." Bundan tashqari, McGlone ma'lumotlariga ko'ra, turg'unlik ehtimoli ko'rinadi.
"10 yildan beri bizning ma'lumotlar bazasida uch oylikdan 1992 yilgacha bo'lgan g'aznachilik egri chizig'ining retsessiyaning eng yuqori ehtimoli asosida", dedi strateg. "Bu safar boshqacha bo'lishi mumkin bo'lgan asosiy omil - bu bozorlar 2022 yil inflyatsiyasigacha o'rganib qolgan Feddan yumshatishdir." Bundan tashqari, MakGlonning fikricha, oltinning sakrashi Fed pul-kredit siyosatini kuchaytirishga qaror qilmaguncha sodir bo'lmasligi mumkin. "12 oylik eng yaxshi ko'rsatkichlardan biri bo'lgan qimmatbaho metal, turg'unlik tufayli Fed-ning yakuniy o'zgarishini sezishi mumkin", deb xulosa qiladi MakGlonning mart prognozi.
Sizningcha, AQSh iqtisodiyoti tanazzulga yuz tutadimi va agar shunday bo'lsa, u oltin va kriptovalyutalar kabi boshqa aktivlarning narxiga qanday ta'sir qiladi? Quyidagi sharhlar bo'limida o'z fikrlaringizni baham ko'ring.
Asl manba: Bitcoin.com