By Bitcoin Tạp chí - 2 năm trước - Thời gian đọc: 2 phút
Kiểm tra ngắn hạn Bitcoin Hành vi của Chủ sở hữu
Examining the dynamics of short-term holders during bitcoin bull markets and bear markets.
Dưới đây là từ một ấn bản gần đây của Deep Dive, Bitcoin Bản tin thị trường cao cấp của tạp chí. Nằm trong số những người đầu tiên nhận được những thông tin chi tiết này và các thông tin chi tiết khác trên chuỗi bitcoin phân tích thị trường trực tiếp đến hộp thư đến của bạn, theo dõi ngay.
Các bài báo có liên quan:
The Daily Dive #070 - Short-Term:Long-Term Cost Basis Ratio
The Daily Dive #083 - Bitcoin Tất cả thời gian cao
The Daily Dive #081 - HODLer Engineered Supply Squeeze
In previous Daily Dives we examined the supply dynamics of long-term and short-term holders and what it means for the bitcoin market. Today, we will further examine the dynamics of short-term holders during bull markets and bear markets.
Before we begin, it is important to define some terminology for those who may not be familiar.
In this piece, when referring to cost basis, we are referring to the realized price, which uses the price at which the coins were last transferred on the Bitcoin blockchain. Due to the transparent nature of Bitcoin’s ledger, we can quantify a cost basis of various cohorts of holders. Below are a few other terms and abbreviations that will be mentioned frequently in today’s Daily Dive.
Cơ sở chi phí = Realized PriceMVRV = Market Value (price) to Realized Price Ratio
LTH = Long-Term Holder
STH = Short-Term Holder
Nào cùng đào vào bên trong.
Short-Term Hodler Cost-Basis Analysis
For information about the quantification of short/long term holders click here
Pictured below is the cost basis for short-term holders over time:
nguồn: Nút thủy tinhIt is clear that the STH cost basis oscillates around the bitcoin price, but when analyzing further, bull markets are driven by new capital flowing into the market, and as a result price will far outpace STH as new money competitively bids for allocations. Examine the trends between STH cost basis and price since the beginning of 2020, as well as the 2017 bull market.
nguồn: Nút thủy tinh nguồn: Nút thủy tinhWe can display the same value as a ratio using STH MVRV (short-term holder market value to realized value ratio). Notice how 1.0 acts as support for STH MVRV in bull markets?
This can be thought of as new participants aggressively defending their average cost basis, as they continue accumulating a position size.
Nguồn chính thức: Bitcoin Tạp chí