作者 NewsBTC - 1 年前 - 阅读时间：3 分钟
山寨币季节到来了吗？ 当心这 6 个加密货币
Ethereum’s (ETH) rally above $2,100 after the Shanghai hard fork has kicked off the altcoin season, according to Crypto Twitter. In addition to ETH, numerous altcoins are posting double-digit gains over the past 24 hours, while Bitcoin has seen a moderate rise.
BitMEX 前首席执行官 Arthur Hayes 是宣布新山寨币季节开始的专家之一。 Hayes 在推特上发布了 ETH 的 4 小时图。 暗指说唱歌手 Jay-Z 的插曲，他 写，“请允许我重新介绍一下自己。 我的名字是 ALTSZN!!!”。
But it’s not just Hayes who sees altcoins trending to outperform Bitcoin in the coming weeks, other experts do too. Scott Melker aka The Wolf Of All Streets 啾啾 “beautifully” and shared the Bitcoin dominance chart below.
As Melker discussed on Wednesday, there is currently a clear case for altcoin outperformance. Bitcoin dominance has hovered in the 39% to 49% range for years. “When RSI hits overbought and it hits the top, dominance drops and alts outperform. The opposite happens at the bottom,” Melker explains.
Bitcoin was rejected yesterday, as predicted by Melker, at the upper end of the range (at 49%) with an overbought RSI and bearish divergence. Based on this, Melker expects Bitcoin’s dominance to fall again in the coming weeks while altcoins experience big gains.
According to the analyst, the only scenario that could prevent an altcoin season is “unless we see a MAJOR breakout and Bitcoin crushes everything.”
观看这 6 种山寨币
Melker explained that he is usually extremely conservative when it comes to sharing altcoin charts in his newsletter. “So when I choose to, I have relatively high conviction that alts are relatively safe for the moment,” wrote the analyst, who recommended Fantom (FTM), Binance Coin (BNB) and Solana (SOL) last week.
Crypto Banter 的 Miles Deutscher 特别关注“较新”的硬币，这些硬币在过去 24 小时内证实了他的理论，价格上涨了两位数。 分析师 笔记 有趣的是，Arbitrum (ARB)、Aptos (APT) 和 Optimism (OP) 等较新代币的表现优于旧代币。
“市场喜欢被最新的闪亮事物所吸引。 同样的事情在上一个周期发生过，而且还会再次发生，”Deutscher 预测道，他看到了造成这种情况的三个因素。 首先，新技术比其前身有所改进。
其次，缺乏历史价格走势（阻力位）在心理上对上行潜力的限制较小。 投资者认为ARB、APT等新币可以复制旧币的表现。
第三，当前趋势对零售商意识的影响比旧的叙述更大。
截至发稿时，Arbitrum (+18,8%) 是市值前 100 名中涨幅最大的公司。 Aptos 和 Optimism 分别以 +10.4% 和 +9.3% 的成绩取得强劲增长。
不过，也有警示的声音。 知名交易员“Koroush AK” 写入:
在牛市中，周期是干净且可预测的。 $BTC –> $ETH –> 山寨币 –> 垃圾币 –> 重复
然而，我们并没有进入一个全面的牛市，我怀疑这更像是 2019 年。预计代币将滞后、孤立的叙事泵、急剧崩盘和不可预测的周期结束。 你会像一个全面的牛市一样重新进行交易。
截至发稿时，Arbitrum (ARB) 代币的交易价格为 1.56 美元。
原始来源： NewsBTC