作者 The Daily Hodl - 1 年前 - 阅读时间：2 分钟
这是什么时候 Bitcoin (BTC) Could Catch a Bottom and Perform Well, According to Macro Guru Lyn Alden
Closely followed analyst Lyn Alden says one macroeconomic factor could signal the end of Bitcoin的（BTC） 熊市。
在对市场分析师 Alessio Rastani 的新采访中，Alden 说 这 Bitcoin’s performance is tightly correlated with the expansion or deceleration of global money supply (M2).
M2 货币供应量大致是指流通中的货币总量，加上近乎货币，或流动性强、易于转换为现金的非现金资产。
“When global money supply measured in dollars is going up pretty rapidly, that’s a great environment for Bitcoin. When it’s going down, when basically that year-over-year rate is rolling over or even stops growing entirely, that’s usually a pretty bad environment for Bitcoin. And in that sense, what Bitcoin is hedging is not price inflation, but monetary inflation, or debasement. It’s basically one of the more pure plays on liquidity.
这可能是值得关注的关键。 流动性发生了什么，经济增长率的变化率发生了什么？
I do think that when you have falling liquidity and economic deceleration, yes, you’d expect Bitcoin to do pretty poorly, which we’ve seen especially over the past six months. Then when you have a bottoming out of liquidity, monetary easing and you’re in the middle of the recession maybe turning up, that’s when I would expect probably Bitcoin to catch a bottom and do pretty well.”
宏观大师 Raoul Pal 也有同样的看法。 上个月，帕尔 说过 加密市场很大程度上是由来自 M2 货币供应的流动性驱动的。
“加密货币不是由商业周期驱动的，而是由全球流动性驱动的。”
在撰写本文时， Bitcoin is swapping hands for $23,859, a 2.82% increase on the day.
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原始来源： 每日Hodl