作者 ZyCrypto - 1 年前 - 阅读时间：2 分钟
专家警告说：“现在还不是太兴奋的时候” Bitcoin 仍可能面临更深层次的调整
Scott Melker, the host of The Wolf of All Streets podcast and crypto trader, has cautioned investors against getting too excited by Bitcoin’s recent pump, suggesting that the crypto asset could still 跳得更低.
In a newsletter to more than 800k Twitter followers, the pundit attempted to measure the asset’s “possible bottom” by illustrating five of the worst Bitcoin corrections in history. These included the Nov 2013 – Jan 2015 (-86.9%); Dec 2017 – Dec 2018 (-84.12%); Apr 2013 (-82.65%); June 2019 – Mar 2020 (-72.26%) and the April 2021 – June 2021(-55.95%) bear markets.
According to him, considering Bitcoin’s price has dropped by approximately 76.59% in the past year, it would have to drop another 48.84% to reach April 2013 bear market levels. This would mean $220B, or half of the current Bitcoin market capitalization, being wiped from the market, which he said was “unlikely”.
“对于 Bitcoin to go an inch lower than the current bottom at $15,800, it would need to drop 31.2% from current levels. Still a sizeable drop.” 他加了。
不太快
The pundit warned investors against getting too excited, commenting on this month’s pump, urging them to drop the “Bitcoin up only” assumption.
“尽管如此，我认为现在还不是太兴奋的时候。 我们才刚刚进入一年的第一个月，我们知道调整将会到来，而且最大的反弹通常出现在熊市中，” 他说。
25月XNUMX日， Bitcoin surged as high as $23,800 before tracing its move to settle below the $23,250 resistance.
根据 Melker 的说法，该阻力可能对价格构成艰难的障碍，4 小时图上的巨大灯芯向上表明该区域是“空头的流动性抢夺”。
“我会谨慎行事，” 他指出，并强调除非蜡烛收盘价高于或低于该阻力位，否则没什么可做的。 “虽然它可能不会发生，但我仍在寻找修正，” 他接着说。
Bitcoin’s Resilience Is Improving
Melker noted that Bitcoin had become more resilient over the years, considering the sheer number of catalysts and 与市场相关的传染 behind its drop compared to other bear markets. He also noted that the pioneer cryptocurrency had attracted a floor of die-hard believers who would increasingly make it harder to drive Bitcoin’s price drastically by offering adequate liquidity.
用他的话说;
“If we are being honest with ourselves, we should feel lucky if Bitcoin does not drop more than it did in 2017...The catalysts for this current correction are far more serious. This proves that Bitcoin is strengthening over time and will probably continue to soften its gains and losses in each cycle.
截至发稿时 Bitcoin (BTC) was exchanging hands at $23,181, up 0.61% in the past 24 hours.
原始来源： ZyCrypto