作者：NewsBTC - 2 年前 - 阅读时间：3 分钟
包周 Bitcoin 自 2021 年 XNUMX 月以来首次交叉看涨势头
Bitcoin price has been unable to get back to $50,000, but with momentum at its back for the first time on weekly timeframes since March, the top cryptocurrency might blast right on through it.
以下是对正在酝酿的重大看涨交叉的更仔细观察，以及如果市场继续进一步整合，加密货币投资者可能需要注意的事项。
Bitcoin Momentum Indicator Crosses Bullish For First Time Since ATHThere is a battle of the words waging on across the crypto community – a fierce debate over if Bitcoin has started another bear market, or if the bull market has final leg up ahead.
交易最终只有一方是正确的，但哪一方呢？时间会做出决定，但与此同时，分析师正试图确定顶级加密货币接下来的最高概率方向。
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Trend strength indicators suggest that bulls are in control, but momentum has been in bear’s favor since the peak in late March and early April 2021.
大约在那个时候， Bitcoin price was trading around the current all-time high of $65,000, when the LMACD crossed bearish and the downtrend first began. After last night’s weekly close, however, things have flipped back bullish for the first time since.
Weekly momentum has crossed bullish above the zero line | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com Pivotal Point In Crypto Market Cycle Is Clear With LMACDThe LMACD is the logarithmic version of the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator and better accurately represents momentum in Bitcoin price on the log scale.
Although the signal is indeed bullish, Bitcoin bulls are not yet out of the woods. Such crossovers are less reliable when markets are consolidating, and depending on the macro climate, crypto could move sideways a lot longer like it did in late 2019 and 2020.
Crossovers with consolidation are less reliable | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com然而，当时仍然存在剩余的熊市阻力需要应对，而如今这种阻力已不存在。上图还显示 LMACD 仍位于零线上方，这表明该资产本身看涨。四个看涨交叉中的最后两个位于零线上方，并且迄今为止只有第三个信号产生了显着的反弹。第四部会怎样结束呢？
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然而，值得注意的是，跨界往往是一场艰苦的战斗。以右下角的图表为例。月度价格图表开盘看跌，就像周开盘看涨一样，但两种对立的市场力量：买家和卖家之间持续存在斗争。
Both the daily and monthly are also at inflection points | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com左侧的日线 LMACD 还警告较低时间范围内可能出现熊市交叉，这可能会使周线的看涨交叉处于危险之中，而月度时间范围的看跌交叉则可能会陷入更深的红色。
关键动量指标似乎表明，加密货币市场正处于一个基于动量的主要拐点，并且可能会朝一个方向或另一个方向爆炸，具体取决于八月结束后未来两周发生的情况。
#Bitcoin crosses bullish on the weekly LMACD while above the zero-line. Bullish and bullisher. pic.twitter.com/5qUWnzLIWy
— 托尼·“公牛”·斯皮洛特罗 (@tonyspilotroBTC) 16 年 2021 月 XNUMX 日
在 Twitter 上或通过 TonyTradesBTC Telegram 关注@TonySpilotroBTC。内容具有教育意义，不应被视为投资建议。
iStockPhoto的特色图片，TradingView.com的图表原始来源： NewsBTC