作者 ZyCrypto - 1 年前 - 閱讀時間：2 分鐘
Pundit 警告說：“現在還不是太興奮的時候” Bitcoin 仍可能面臨更深層次的修正
Scott Melker, the host of The Wolf of All Streets podcast and crypto trader, has cautioned investors against getting too excited by Bitcoin’s recent pump, suggesting that the crypto asset could still 跳得更低.
In a newsletter to more than 800k Twitter followers, the pundit attempted to measure the asset’s “possible bottom” by illustrating five of the worst Bitcoin corrections in history. These included the Nov 2013 – Jan 2015 (-86.9%); Dec 2017 – Dec 2018 (-84.12%); Apr 2013 (-82.65%); June 2019 – Mar 2020 (-72.26%) and the April 2021 – June 2021(-55.95%) bear markets.
According to him, considering Bitcoin’s price has dropped by approximately 76.59% in the past year, it would have to drop another 48.84% to reach April 2013 bear market levels. This would mean $220B, or half of the current Bitcoin market capitalization, being wiped from the market, which he said was “unlikely”.
“對於 Bitcoin to go an inch lower than the current bottom at $15,800, it would need to drop 31.2% from current levels. Still a sizeable drop.” 他加了。
不太快
The pundit warned investors against getting too excited, commenting on this month’s pump, urging them to drop the “Bitcoin up only” assumption.
“儘管如此，我認為現在還不是太興奮的時候。 我們才剛剛進入一年的第一個月，我們知道調整將會到來，而且最大的反彈通常出現在熊市中，” 他說。
25月XNUMX日， Bitcoin surged as high as $23,800 before tracing its move to settle below the $23,250 resistance.
根據 Melker 的說法，該阻力可能對價格構成艱難的障礙，4 小時圖上的巨大燈芯向上表明該區域是“空頭的流動性搶奪”。
“我會謹慎行事，” 他指出，並強調除非蠟燭收盤價高於或低於該阻力位，否則沒什麼可做的。 “雖然它可能不會發生，但我仍在尋找修正，” 他接著說。
Bitcoin’s Resilience Is Improving
Melker noted that Bitcoin had become more resilient over the years, considering the sheer number of catalysts and 與市場相關的傳染 behind its drop compared to other bear markets. He also noted that the pioneer cryptocurrency had attracted a floor of die-hard believers who would increasingly make it harder to drive Bitcoin’s price drastically by offering adequate liquidity.
用他的話說;
“If we are being honest with ourselves, we should feel lucky if Bitcoin does not drop more than it did in 2017...The catalysts for this current correction are far more serious. This proves that Bitcoin is strengthening over time and will probably continue to soften its gains and losses in each cycle.
截至發稿時， Bitcoin (BTC) was exchanging hands at $23,181, up 0.61% in the past 24 hours.
原始來源： ZyCrypto