Cén fáth "ró-chlú" Bitcoin Níorbh fhéidir Railí 107% a Spreagadh

Le NewsBTC - 3 months ago - Am Léitheoireachta: 2 nóiméad

Cén fáth "ró-chlú" Bitcoin Níorbh fhéidir Railí 107% a Spreagadh

Bitcoin price had previously been showing extreme strength leading up until the debut of the first spot ETFs. That strength has since subsided, leading to a 20% correction in BTCUSD.

Mar sin féin, d’fhéadfadh táscaire teicniúil móréilimh a thomhaiseann móiminteam leanúint láidir den bhuntíos a léiriú, ach amháin má sháraítear leibhéal áirithe. Lean ort ag léamh chun tuilleadh a fhoghlaim faoin Innéacs Neart Coibhneasta agus conas a n-iompraíonn an príomh-chrua-airgeadra nuair a shroicheann an margadh leibhéal “rócheannach”.

Bitcoin Approaches “Overbought” And Why This Isn’t A Bad Thing

An Innéacs Neart Relative is a momentum-measuring tool that signals when a market is “overbought” or “oversold”. When a financial asset reaches such conditions, it often means the trend is about to change.

In Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, the weekly RSI is often a signal that the asset is moving into its most powerful phase. For example, Bitcoin made it above a reading of 70 in October 2023, and only weeks later saw an over 60% rally to local 2024 highs.

Anois tá cairteacha 1W BTCUSD ag taispeáint léamh RSI de díreach faoi bhun 70, ag cur in iúl go bhféadfaí cúl a dhúnadh os cionn an leibhéil rócheannaigh. Más féidir le tairbh an cryptocurrency barr a choinneáil de réir caipín margaidh os cionn $43,650, ba cheart go ndúnfadh an RSI seachtainiúil os cionn na tairsí.

Sonraí Neart Coibhneasta Stairiúla 1W BTCUSD

Historical data could possibly shed some light on what might happen if the weekly Innéacs Neart Relative gets the close above 70 as anticipated.

Over the last ten years, Bitcoin saw a 1W RSI close above 70 a total of 13 times. This happened 8 times in 2016 and 2017, twice in 2019, and once each in 2020 and 2021. One additional instance occurred in 2023.

As na 13 huaire, ba é 70% an meánghnóthachan tar éis don RSI dúnadh os cionn 107 go buaic na gluaiseachta. Bhí an rally is mó ann in 2020, rud a thug torthaí níos mó ná 400%. Bhí an rally is lú i 2016 agus ní raibh ach gnóthachan 20% ann.

After removing the largest and smallest outliers, the average drops down to around 61%. This could mean that Bitcoin could produce on average a move between 61 and 107%.

Tógann gnóthachan 61% BTCUSD ar ais go dtí beagán faoi bhun $68,000 agus cúthail le buaicphointe nua uile-aimseartha, agus leagann bogadh 107% taifead nua níos gaire do $90,000 in aghaidh an bhoinn. Tá seans ann go n-oibreoidh an cryptocurrency ar phatrún bratach tarbh freisin, le sprioc de thart ar $77,000.

Foinse bunaidh: NuachtBTC