By Bitcoin Jurnal - 3 oy oldin - O'qish vaqti: 6 daqiqa
Chiqish yozuvlari narxi
The battle for the future of Bitcoin is raging in real time on twitter as we are on the cusp of global economic contraction, thanks to 50+ years of the USD fiat regime, and are eagerly waiting for the approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF by the SEC. Yet, in the trenches on Twitter, the skirmish being fought is over what bitcoin is and how it should and shouldn’t be used. I covered this battle in some detail on Orange Label, but to summarize there are two camps in this battle: Monetary Maximalists & Blockspace Demand Maximalist. The big question is should inscriptions be a part of Bitcoin and how can they be stopped?
Ushbu qismning maqsadi sizni u yoki bu tarzda chalg'itish emas, balki vaqt o'tishi bilan yozuvlar narxi oshishiga olib keladigan ba'zi raqamlarni baham ko'rishdir. O'tgan yil davomida biz BTC narxi va xeshreytning ikki baravar ko'payishini ko'rdik va shu vaqt ichida yozuvlar blok maydoni talabida katta o'zgarishlarga olib keldi. Biz to'lovlar 4 yillik eng yuqori darajaga ko'tarilganini ko'rdik, chunki mempullar o'rtacha to'lovlarni tozalar edi1, which means there were so many high fee transactions in mempools that lower fee transactions were being dropped from mempools. In other words, there was no chance for low fee transactions to be included in blocks. What started as a laughable novelty 12 months ago has brought in legions of new bitcoin. This is an undeniable fact when you look up the number of reachable nodes on the network over the past couple years.
As bitcoin twitter has begun to divide on the topic, a meme has emerged suggesting that inscriptions will be priced out as NGU technology does its thing. This leads to the next logical question… at what point do inscriptions get priced out? That’s for the market to decide. For now, we can simply run the numbers and see how many dollars an inscription will cost as Bitcoin price appreciates.
Kalkulyator
Men stol kalkulyatorlarining katta muxlisiman23 va hikoya yaratishda ulardan tez-tez foydalaning. Ushbu asar uchun men 100 kb hajmdagi fotosuratni har xil narxlarda yozish qanchalik qimmatga tushishini tushunmoqchi edim. Keyin bu BRC20 shitcoiners qancha pul sarflayotgani va bu bema'nilik qachon tugaydi degan savolga aylandi. Malumot uchun ular taxminan 50 bayt yoki 0.05 kb hajmda. Men kuzatib borishga muvaffaq bo'ldim4 yozuvni yaratish uchun soddalashtirilgan formula:
Ordinal Inscription Narx kalkulyatori formulasi
Jami USD qiymati = ((((Yozuv hajmi kb * 1000) / 4 * Toʻlov stavkasi)) / 100,000,000 ) * Joriy BTCUSD narxi
Ushbu hisoblash uchun muhim o'zgaruvchilar kilobaytdagi fayl hajmi, sats/vbaytdagi to'lov stavkasi va joriy BTCUSD narxidir. Ushbu kichik ma'lumot bilan men turli o'lchamdagi yozuvlar to'lovlar va BTCUSD uchun NGU sifatida USD narxining qanday oshishini ko'rish uchun oddiy statik jadval tuza oldim.
Ushbu diagramma juda ko'p ma'lumotlarni ochib beradi va men uchun eng muhim narsa bu ma'lumotlarni bloklarga joylashtirish qanchalik qimmat bo'lishidir. Keling, 100 kb hajmdagi rasmimizni olaylik. Joriy to'lovlar bo'yicha taxminan 100 sat/vbayt va $50,000 BTCUSD, ularni yozish uchun $1,250 turadi. Bu yutish uchun katta tabletka. Keling, pul yuvish uchun ishlatiladigan shitcoin BRC20 tokenini ko'rib chiqaylik ... Uning o'lchami 0.05 kb atrofida. ‘Hozirgi to‘lovlar bo‘yicha 100 sat/vbayt va 50,000 0.63 BTCUSD atrofida bo‘lib, ularni yozib olish uchun $1 turadi. Bu kichik miqdor, lekin bu narsalar yuk mashinasida yozilgan. Biz 20 m birliklari bo'lgan to'plamlar haqida gapiramiz. Shunday qilib, unchalik katta emas va bitta BRCXNUMX yo'q, tonnalar paydo bo'ladi. Bu narsalarning likvidligi haqidagi savol boshqa post uchun.
Jadvalda har bir yozuv o'lchami uchun yuqori BTCUSD narxlariga o'tsangiz, narsalar qanchalik kulgili bo'lishini ko'rishingiz mumkin. Bizning kamtarona 100kb jpg faylimiz BTCUSD 62,500 million dollar va 1 sat/vbaytga yetganida yozib olish uchun 200 20 dollar turadi. Xuddi shunday BRC25 bitta token uchun XNUMX dollargacha ko'tariladi. Bunday narxlar maymun rasmlari va memecoin shitcoinlari kabi chindan ham ahmoqona narxlarni oshira boshlaydi.
Ko'rib turganingizdek, ushbu yozuvlarni ishlab chiqarish narxi BTCUSD o'sishi bilan chiziqli ravishda oshadi. Buning o'zi bozorning katta qismini baholaydi, ammo bozorning umumiy hajmi oshgani sayin o'zingizdan so'rashingiz kerak, bu qo'shimcha talabni keltirib chiqaradigan yangi ishtirokchilarni olib keladi, boshqacha qilib aytganda, hovuz kattalashadi va baliq kattalashadi, kichik baliq shunchaki ovqatlanmaydi.
Nima kutish kerak?
Keyinchalik nima sodir bo'lishini o'ylab ko'rish juda qiyin, chunki ko'plab ishonchli natijalar bor, lekin men ushbu maqolaning boshida aytib o'tgan mem haqida qaytib kelaman, yozuvlar qimmatga tushadi. Faqat raqamlarni ishlating, ular yolg'on gapirmaydi. O'ylaymanki, biz qisqa muddatda o'ladigan yozuvlar yaqinida emasmiz, lekin vaqt o'tishi bilan zanjirda soqov narsalarning mavjudligi juda qimmatga tushadi. Kam vaqtni afzal ko'rgan faoliyat ustunlik qiladi.
Men umumiy yozuv ekotizimining rivojlanishda davom etayotganini ko'rmoqdaman va bu odamlarning ongi va fikrlari ham o'zgarishda davom etishini anglatadi. Biz ishlab chiqaruvchilarning o'ylangan sharhlarini ko'rmoqdamiz5 ogohlantirish6 of how changing the protocol to address or eliminate inscriptions usage will only push people to “exploit” other parts of the protocol for it’s precious blockspace. We are seeing novel new ways to crowd fund inscriptions and incentive the seeding of data via bitcoin + torrents such as So'rov, Durabitva Prekursiv yozuvlar. Inscriptions are a thing, blockspace is precious, and people are willing to pay for it. Bitcoin is for enemies, and it is going to get weird(er). Cope and seethe but remember to have fun.
Reasonable is subjective, markets clear. I believe I saw transactions with fees as high as 20 sat/vbyte being purged, which in recent memory feels absurd. ↩︎Demystifying Hashprice ↩︎Satsflow Scenarios ↩︎Someone made this and it is pretty handy. I used this formula to build out my table in google sheets. https://instacalc.com/56229 ↩︎“NACK kontseptsiyasi.Bu bizning dasturiy ta'minot foydalanuvchilari manfaatiga mos kelishiga ishonmayman. Tranzaksiya relayida ishtirok etish va mempulga ega bo'lishning maqsadi keyingi bloklar qanday ko'rinishini bashorat qilishdir. Juda aniq (ammo ahmoqona) iqtisodiy talab mavjud bo'lgan tranzaktsiyalarni ataylab chiqarib tashlash, ular qazib olinganda ularni tasdiqlash zaruratini olib tashlamasdan, bu qobiliyatni buzadi.
Albatta, har kim o'zi xohlagan narsani uzatuvchi/saqlovchi/minaviy dasturiy ta'minotni ishga tushirishi yoki taqdim etishi mumkin, ammo agar sizning maqsadingiz real mempulga ega bo'lish bo'lmasa, siz ham -blocksonly rejimida ishlashingiz mumkin. Bu, agar maqsad bo'lsa, sezilarli darajada ko'proq resurslarni tejashga ega.
Bu ma'lum tranzaktsiyalarni nafaqat ko'rmaslik, balki ulardan foydalanishni to'xtatish uchun qilingan urinish bo'lsa, bu eng yaxshi holatda ushbu tranzaktsiyalarning buni amalga oshiradigan tugunlar atrofida yo'naltirilishiga olib keladi yoki eng yomoni, to'g'ridan-to'g'ri topshirilgan tranzaktsiyalar amaliyotiga olib keladi. qazib olishni markazlashtirish uchun jiddiy xavflarga ega bo'lgan konchilar. Garchi nostandartlik tarixan og'ir amaliyotlardan voz kechish uchun ishlatilgan bo'lsa-da, menimcha, bu (a) bugungi kunda to'liq bloklar odatiy hol bo'lgan, shuning uchun u baribir tugunning ishlash xarajatlarini kamaytirmaydi va (b) tranzaktsiyalarni to'xtatish uchun kuchsizdir. mavjud bozor allaqachon mavjud - kuniga o'nlab BTC to'laydigan bozor.
I believe the demand for blockspace many of these transactions pose is grossly misguided, but choosing to not see them is burying your head in the sand.” – Peter Wuille aloqa ↩︎“Ever since the infamous Taproot Wizard 4mb block bitcoin have been alight, fighting to try and stop inscriptions. Inscriptions are definitely not good for bitcoin, lekin qanday bitcoin are trying to stop them will be far worse than any damage inscriptions could have ever caused.” – Ben Carman aloqa ↩︎
Asl manba: Bitcoin jurnal